Hey Jarret! Medford, OR is a beautiful place and I'm jealous of you haha. You kind of answered your own question in a way. Low inventory across the country currently is acting as a buffer for the housing market. In the late 2000s crash we were building more homes than we had buyers for, creating a situation where the supply far outweighed the demand, but for that "slack" period people were still buying houses at their previous values, even though the market didn't justify that price. In addition, that crash was led on by lending practices that are highly illegal now both on the primary and secondary markets.
If I were you, I would just apply the same principles to real estate investing that you would in any market:
1) Only buy if the numbers make sense! As buy and hold investors it doesn't matter what the market does while we own the house. As long as rents stay relatively the same/increase and we bought at a fixed rate then it doesn't matter what the market does while we own.
2) If you're a flipper, give yourself some insurance by having multiple exit paths. Make sure the numbers work as a rental, just case of the small chance that the market does crash, because if it does, people still need a place with a roof over their head.
3) Save Reserves! The main variable in this equation is that you manage your property correctly which means keeping money for reserves for vacancy, cap ex, repairs, etc. If not it could put you in a financial position where you are forced to sell.
Also, if the right deal comes up, Medford seems like it would be a great STR market in the couple times I've been there.
You got this Jarret!