Quote from @K S.:
Quote from @Bryan H.:
Quote from @K S.:
Quote from @Bryan H.:
Quote from @K S.:
I should mention that this is an apples to apples comparison between 100k in the S&P 500 and 100k SFH cashing both out after 16 years. I did not include the fact that I'm doing a 1031 exchange on this unit nor did I include a scenario where you only put enough down to break even with the mortgage so you can leverage yourself with more properties.
Bills example as my own is a classic early 2000s strategy which in most states today, would not work. You'll be requireing a larger down payment on a higher priced house with higher interest rates. His own example shows his unit at 100k rented for 1k (1%) as my own but is now 400k but only rents for 2000 (.5%) which is worse than mine. That's a terrible investment for anyone reading this and thinking you can do that today. The strategies have shifted from buying turnkey properties to buying distressed properties and renovating them and hustling.
Almost my exact scenario. $100k purchase price back in 1997 for a 1br condo in Dupont Circle, Washington DC. Top location, top neighborhood. Today it’s worth exactly $400k after estimated $300k income over 20 years (I lived in it for first 8 years). Yeah 1br condos just don’t do that great.
Anyway, now I have a window. Tenant just left - I’d love to sell now but feel super stuck because I need to maintain the $20k net annual income it’s providing. Just did the $15k remodel. If I sell now I walk with only between $275-300k, because it’s fully depreciated. Should I just eat that $100k depreciation recapture tax and start fresh? Being able to 1031 the full $400k into a larger better performing property while maintaining the $20k annual income feels like a fantasy. Who’s got a great idea?
Tough choice at your age because I don't think you have too many more decades left in you to be fooling around with 30 year mortgages unless you're like John and some of these other guys who have the time to make leverage work for them. I do like the instant gratification of 20k/year although less without your depreciation.
If you look at my updated stats, I included depreciation of ~$3600/year which nets me an additional $1,000/year? So That's $3200 deducted x .28 tax rate. If you sold outside of a 1031 exch, you would owe 18,000 back I think. That's 25% of the total depreciation of 70,000 over 20 years. But, you won't owe depreciation if you 1031 exchange. Just the $2,000 it costs to push the paperwork.
Due to your cashflow, I see no reason to cash out just to put yourself into more 30 year mortgages when future appreciation is uncertain to surpass the historical average of 4%. I'd keep my 20k/year net profits for sure so start with that advice first. Someone might say pull 50% LTV cash out for another property to break even on but I'm not savy enough to disagree. I myself am 1031 exchanging that house and bought land to build a multi unit because of the ADU laws so I can build a home with a JADU for the purpose of house hacking. Is that a good idea? Probably not lol. But I'm going to do it anyways.
If I were you, which I'm not. I would keep the house and reinvest the cashflow into the S&P 500 or max out your 401k w/match (22,000/year). 20k/year at 8% return feels less risky than potentially buying a turd. And the benefit is that the money is always there if you need to shift from the market back into cashflow. If you looked at my updated numbers, I laid out the fact that had I reinvested the $12000/year into the S&P 500 over 16 years, my total equity minus my cost basis would be ~$650,000. Note: I think I said 850,000 in the last post so I messed up if anyone was paying attention. What I'm trying to say is that a condo/SFH is awfully close to the same outcome had we financed 3 or 4 units with the same capital investment with no cashflow. Good when you're young and have capital, maybe not good when you want to retire in the next 15 years and don't want the headaches or risk of uncertainty. What's certain is 20k/year and that's like a jackpot as most people on here are like struggling to break even on their leveraged properties. $200/month is like nothing when it can be wiped out killing your returns for the entire year after uncertain capital expenses.
I'd like to hear better ideas though.
I was hoping someone knew of a real or hypothetical $800k property or that would cashflow me at least $20k. So I’d leverage 50% into it with a $400k down payment.
A 30 year mortgage thrown into the mix makes no difference as long as there’s still
20k positive cashflow.
Not sure I follow you on me only owing $18k deprciation recapture tax. I’ll over a little over $100k.
The killer for me and why i’m scrambling…I just lost an ADU airbnb I built from scratch behind my house (zoning issue) that I’ve had for 8 years grossing $65k/year. So your idea is a good one. For me to replace that on another property would cost $450k where i live. Or in the stock market I’d need $1.5m to generate that kind of reliable income. I built it for $70k all in.
You mean you took 100k in depreciation? You only have to pay back 25% of what you took over 20 years and only if you don't 1031. Correct me if I'm wrong but I believe you take the home improvment value (not land) and divide by 27.5. That is your depreciation at least that's how my CPA is doing it from what i can tell. I then times that by my tax rate of 28% to get my savings every year. So if you depreciated 100k, you would owe 25,000 at close of sale if you don't do a 1031 exchange.
Yeah, looks like you got the ADU stuff down. You may want to look at a HELOC against your equity to build another.
If what you’re saying is true then hallelujah - i’m selling! I’d have about $350k to put in my schwab money fund at current 5.5% - would earn me that $20k with no rental headaches, future assessments, and other capex?? I guess only thing is that 5.5% is not guaranteed forever…but I’d be ready to pounce on a better performing property.
This is what my tax person said and now I think I misunderstood her:
“If everything else were the same as 2022 and you sell the property for $400k, the tax liability for Federal would be around $81k and the NC would be $22k.”
So she means I’d calculate tax on those numbers, not PAY those numbers?