Ardie,
In St. Louis people still buy houses in the winter but not as many as in the spring and summer. The bottom line is that if you provide a good product and price it right it will sell.
The one thing that concerns me the most is the lower end area you say you picked. Is there a strong retail market in that area.
These are the things I would consider.
1. Is there a strong retail market where you are planning to sell.
2. Have your realtor pull what has sold in the winter compared to the summer and spring. Were there differences in time on market or in price?
3. Can you rehab the property, deliver quality work and sell it at or below what others are selling for and still make the profit you want?
4. Choosing rehabbing is gutsy as your first deal. Make sure your margins are way high and account for the worst. There is a lot of stuff people forget to consider.
For example:
- realtor commissions
- closing costs - buyers will ask for it and its common in St. Luis to pay them
- holding costs (utilities and monthly payments as well as the extra points if you cant get it sold in 6 months)
- rehab costs - your rehab costs will be more than you think I would margin at least 10 - 15% especially since its your first deal
- negotiations - its still sort of a buyers market in St. Louis the buyer will try to negotiate with you and you will likely have to give in somewhat.
There are lots of deals out there so be picky make sure the deal you choose really makes sense don't just pick a deal and do it because you want to do your first deal. You will be setting yourself up for failure.
I hope this helps.
Brian Haskins