Originally posted by @Vinod Badami:
@Bradley Sriro - Hi Bradley, are you working JWB? In my introductory call with them 2 years ago or so they used to say that their recommended holding period is about 5 to 7 years. Now they have upped that to 10 to 20 yrs. That tells me that Jacksonville has peaked. Also their home are mostly in C and D class neighbor hoods with a demographic that are permanently renters. That means resales will be a problem and limited only to other investors. Do you have such a long horizon? and what is your exit strategy?
Yes Vinod, I am working with JWB. I do not share your opinion that the Jacksonville market has peaked. How did you come to that conclusion? My opinion is quite the contrary. Jacksonville is a very strong market with solid growth and appreciation. It also offers both cash flow and appreciation that meet my needs.
The median home price in Jacksonville increased over 6% last year... and the historical average of appreciation is over 4%. Additionally, population growth in Jacksonville remains very strong. It is true as you noted that many of their homes are in C class neighborhoods; however, these neighborhoods have strong and consistent rental demand. The owner to renter ratio is around 55% owner and 45% renter. With that being said, I believe that your premise regarding resale is also incorrect. The turnkey homes offered by JWB are affordable working class homes. What I can tell you as an agent is that there is a very strong demand for affordable housing. Homes at these price points are in very high demand among owner occupant buyers especially because they are affordable. Couple this with the drastically low inventory and it sets the stage for continued price appreciation due to simple supply and demand. In today's market many potential buyers are being forced to rent simply because they can not secure a home to purchase because of the very limited inventory. This too supports strong rental demand and continued price appreciation. I would argue that most investors who purchase turnkey properties have a long-term hold mentality like myself. As such, they would likely hold for a full market cycle which can be between 10-20 years. In terms of exit strategy, I intend to hold all of my rentals for a very long time with the intention of paying them off as quickly as possible.
I also want to note that I am not trying to sell JWB as a company. While I am very happy with my experience with them, I am simply stating my reasons for choosing to invest in the Jacksonville market. JWB just happen to fit the mold of what I personally was looking for.
Did you end up purchasing a turnkey property with any turnkey provider? If you would have purchased two years ago, you would have undoubtedly locked in some significant appreciation.