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All Forum Posts by: Braden Smith

Braden Smith has started 22 posts and replied 905 times.

Post: Investing in a High-Risk Flood Zone (AE) – Worth It or Hard Pass?

Braden Smith
Posted
  • Investor
  • New Orleans, LA
  • Posts 957
  • Votes 740

FEMA implemented Risk Rating 2.0 in 2021. This new rating system changed how FEMA determines flood premiums for the NFIP.

- Phase 1 (October 1, 2021)
Applied to new policies or existing policies that opted for early renewal under Risk Rating 2.0.
- Phase 2 (April 1, 2022)

Applied to all remaining existing policies, transitioning them to the Risk Rating 2.0 methodology upon renewal.

The new system replaced the decades-old approach to calculating flood insurance premiums, aiming to provide fairer and more accurate rates based on individual property risk.

Before Risk Rating 2.0, flood insurance premiums were mainly based on whether a property was inside or outside a designated flood zone and its elevation on a map. 

With Risk Rating 2.0, FEMA looks at several factors to assess a property's real flood risk.

Key Factors Considered

- Property Location: How close the property is to water sources (rivers, lakes, coasts).
- Flood Frequency: How often the area floods historically.
- Types of Floods: Includes heavy rainfall, storm surges, and river overflow.
- Elevation and Distance from Water: Higher and farther properties generally face lower risk.
- Rebuilding Costs: Higher-value homes may have higher premiums due to more expensive repairs.

What This Means for Homeowners
- Fairer Premiums: Properties with lower risk may see lower premiums, while higher-risk properties may face increased costs.
- Gradual Rate Increases: Increases are phased in over time for policyholders who see higher premiums, with annual caps on the rate hike.
- More Predictable Rates: Rates better reflect the real risk rather than just being based on a flood zone map.

Example Scenario (Simplified)
- Old System: A house in a designated flood zone pays $1,000 annually, regardless of its elevation or distance from the water.
- Risk Rating 2.0: That same house may now pay $1,200 if it's closer to the water and more vulnerable or $800 if it's higher up and better protected.

Flood zones still matter under Risk Rating 2.0, but their role has changed. Under the old system, flood zones primarily determined whether a property owner was required to carry flood insurance and significantly influenced the insurance rates. Now, under Risk Rating 2.0:

- Premium Calculation: Flood zones no longer directly impact the price of flood insurance. Rates are based on individual property characteristics like proximity to water, elevation, and risk factors.
- Insurance Requirement: Flood zones still matter for federal regulations. Properties in high-risk flood zones (Special Flood Hazard Areas, or SFHAs) must maintain flood insurance if they have a federally backed mortgage.

Flood zones still matter for:

- Mortgage Requirements: Lenders use flood zones to determine whether insurance is mandatory.
- Community Floodplain Management: Flood zone maps are essential for local governments to manage floodplain development and maintain eligibility for NFIP participation.
- Risk Awareness: Flood zone designations still help people understand general flood risks in their area.

Elevation still matters under Risk Rating 2.0, but its role is handled differently compared to the old system.

Under the old system, elevation certificates were often required to calculate insurance rates. They showed the property's elevation relative to the base flood elevation (BFE) for its flood zone.

With Risk Rating 2.0, FEMA now uses advanced technology and data models (like topography maps, elevation data, and geospatial technology) to automatically assess elevation for rate calculations.

How Elevation Impacts Rates Now
- Higher Elevation = Lower Risk: Properties located at a higher elevation are less likely to flood, which generally results in lower premiums.
- Lower Elevation = Higher Risk: Properties at lower elevations or in flood-prone areas typically face higher premiums.
- Natural vs. Man-Made Elevation: FEMA accounts for both natural elevation and protective features (like levees) in its calculations.

Do You Still Need an Elevation Certificate?
- Not Required for FEMA Pricing: Homeowners are no longer required to provide an elevation certificate to get flood insurance through the NFIP.
- Optional Benefit: If you believe an elevation certificate shows your property is at a lower risk than FEMA's assessment, you can submit one to potentially lower your premium.

Post: REI Investment Consultation

Braden Smith
Posted
  • Investor
  • New Orleans, LA
  • Posts 957
  • Votes 740
Quote from @Alexander Stag:

Hello Mr. Leonard, I have not personally used the BP calculators, but I have seen the reports from them. Yes, my calculations are similar to the BP calculators but what I do different is I calculate the cap rate and NOI based on what they are currently renting for, and I compare it to what it can be renting for at the max. Those numbers I get for what it could be rented for is based on market reports in the area. I also calculate rental increases and break-even points, and I can do that for 5, 10, 30+ years.

Below I'm going to attach a quick calculation for an 8-plex that sold on 12/30/2024 in New Orleans. If there's a property you're looking at or want any information on, just send me the address and I can calculate anything you'd like. I can also calculate what a reasonable offer price should be. 


 Are you including capex, vacancy rate, repairs, and maintenance in your operating expenses?

Post: Calculators for New Home Construction ROI

Braden Smith
Posted
  • Investor
  • New Orleans, LA
  • Posts 957
  • Votes 740
Quote from @Chris Whynder:
Quote from @Braden Smith:

In very simplified terms, to determine the feasibility of a new construction project you need to do the following:

1. Determine if the area can support new construction. Not all areas can. 

2. If the area can support new construction, determine the best style, size, and type of new build for that area.

3. Determine the cost of construction (hiring a contractor in the GNO area is going to start around $165-175/sqft to build) and be sure to include all holding costs, as well as interest in the loan. (The typical commercial loans I use are at 9.5% right now so be prepared for that.)

4. Determine the most likely sales price of the build (factor in the cost of the land also) and include all selling costs to arrive at your net profit and ROI.

With that sq price for a general contractor what is all included, is that with or without land?

 That is just the build cost and does not include the land cost. Construction costs are up over 40% in the last 4-5 years. 

Post: Longer loan term with better cash flow or shorter loan term?

Braden Smith
Posted
  • Investor
  • New Orleans, LA
  • Posts 957
  • Votes 740

I agree with the others who have commented. If you are struggling to make the numbers work, then it is likely not a deal to pursue.

Our biggest challenge in the New Orleans area is the cost of insurance. It is so high that it has become very difficult to find any property where it will have cash flow.

Have you gotten insurance quotes?

Post: Beginner to real estate investments

Braden Smith
Posted
  • Investor
  • New Orleans, LA
  • Posts 957
  • Votes 740

Welcome to BP!

You've come to the right place to learn anything and everything about real estate investing.

Be sure to check out the "Learn" tab at the top. Lots of great resources there. See here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/smarter

A good place to start is with the free guides, such as "The Ultimate Beginner's Guide To Real Estate Investing". See here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/guides/ultimate-real-estate-in...

The bookstore has some great books and the podcast is full of valuable information. See here: https://store.biggerpockets.com/

Find and connect with other BP members that are in your area: https://www.biggerpockets.com/search/users

Set up keyword alerts to be notified of the topics that interest you: http://www.biggerpockets.com/alerts

Check out BP Podcasts: https://www.biggerpockets.com/podcast

If you wish to tag someone in the conversation on the forum, type @ followed by their name and then select the name of that person which should appear below the comments box. He or she will be notified of being tagged so that the conversation will continue.

See here for the Guides: https://www.biggerpockets.com/guides

See here for The Path to Purchase: https://www.biggerpockets.com/learn

See here for the blog: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/

Search MeetUp.com for local meetups.

If you have any questions I can answer, don't hesitate to reach out!

Good luck and happy investing!

Post: August 2024 Real Estate Trends in Greater New Orleans: What Buyers, Sellers, and Inve

Braden Smith
Posted
  • Investor
  • New Orleans, LA
  • Posts 957
  • Votes 740

Great summary! It was a good conversation. Lots of valuable info to take away! 

Post: Home owners insurance recommendation for Louisiana

Braden Smith
Posted
  • Investor
  • New Orleans, LA
  • Posts 957
  • Votes 740
Quote from @Michael Schnell:

All of my rentals are stuck using Louisiana Citizens Insurance (state sponsored and 3x what I was paying before the insurance companies all either pulled out or went bankrupt).  I'm in St. Bernard Parish -- anyone have any luck finding someone to step in?


The best prices I have found lately are through Sagesure. I use EJ Giusti at Goosehead Insurance. 

Post: Best text message marketing apps?

Braden Smith
Posted
  • Investor
  • New Orleans, LA
  • Posts 957
  • Votes 740
Quote from @Jodie Cordell:

@Braden Smith It's true, texting can be tricky. But the truth is, cold texting is what gets people in trouble. As long as you're avoiding the "cold text" to people you've never made first contact with, you should be able to avoid any issues. Just make sure you're practicing transparency. Don't treat people in ways that you know would annoy you. I hate getting text messages from people I didn't sign up to get info from. So, if you want to send out listings to your list, make sure they know that's what you are going to do. 


That post was from 4 years ago. Today unsolicited text message marketing is 100% illegal without prior written opt-in consent from the recipient per the TCPA. 

The TCPA considers text messages to be the same as calls. This means that businesses must obtain explicit written consent to add customers to a subscription list and send them marketing or promotional communications. Transactional messaging, such as order confirmations or shipping updates, also requires a distinct opt-in.

Businesses that violate the TCPA can be fined per violation, with penalties ranging from hundreds to thousands of dollars. For example, the most common punishment for non-compliance is a fine of $500 to $1,500 per unsolicited message.

Post: Multifamily Real Estate Questions

Braden Smith
Posted
  • Investor
  • New Orleans, LA
  • Posts 957
  • Votes 740
Quote from @David St. Pé:
Quote from @Braden Smith:
Quote from @David St. Pé:
Quote from @Braden Smith:

I am located in New Orleans. Insurance here is a nightmare, putting a real damper on the market. Premiums have doubled, tripled, and even quadrupled for some. 

I have a podcast on the local real estate market in New Orleans. Check out this episode on insurance:  Episode 22: What in the world is going on with homeowners insurance in Louisiana?

Hi Braden,

I am looking at some duplex/triplex in uptown.  Insurance premiums aside, how do you feel about investing in NO generally? 


The market is tough here. Construction costs are up about 40% over the last 4 years. Insurance costs are through the roof. Add in the high interest rates on construction loans and mortgages, and it all makes for a difficult market for real estate investing. Those having some success with REI in the New Orleans area are getting deals direct to seller and using creative REI techniques.


 Hi Braden,  Thanks for the reply.  Interest rates & constructions costs are up across the country.  Nobody has a crystal ball but, I was wondering how you feel about NO/uptown 3-5 year outlook relative to appreciations & rents.

Currently, we are seeing inventory rise faster than we are closing sales. Home for sale is up about 20% and closed sales are down about 24%. If this trend continues as we move towards the end of the year I think we will see more price drops than we already are. Sales volume in the GNO area typically peaks in June, and then demand begins to drop. It usually bottoms out around January each year.

Months of supply for all dwelling types in the GNO area is at 5.7 which is the highest it has been since about 2014. I think it will get up above 6 months soon and may rise even further towards the end of the year pushing us into buyer market territory where prices fall.

There are more available rentals on the market than there would normally be at this time of year.

Post: Multifamily Real Estate Questions

Braden Smith
Posted
  • Investor
  • New Orleans, LA
  • Posts 957
  • Votes 740
Quote from @David St. Pé:
Quote from @Braden Smith:

I am located in New Orleans. Insurance here is a nightmare, putting a real damper on the market. Premiums have doubled, tripled, and even quadrupled for some. 

I have a podcast on the local real estate market in New Orleans. Check out this episode on insurance:  Episode 22: What in the world is going on with homeowners insurance in Louisiana?

Hi Braden,

I am looking at some duplex/triplex in uptown.  Insurance premiums aside, how do you feel about investing in NO generally? 


The market is tough here. Construction costs are up about 40% over the last 4 years. Insurance costs are through the roof. Add in the high interest rates on construction loans and mortgages, and it all makes for a difficult market for real estate investing. Those having some success with REI in the New Orleans area are getting deals direct to seller and using creative REI techniques.