Originally posted by @Bill Manassero:
Bryan, Thanks for the great info. I really value your experienced advice. Thanks for taking the time to share your expertise. I paid cash and own the property outright and can't afford the loss right now. If i can just get them rented (probably through section 8) I will be happy with the $1K plus monthly cash flow. I've got to give that my best shot (marketing, etc.) and see what happens. If I can really see the downward trend I will think about other options but markets fluctuate and so do crime areas. If I could trade it for something comparable in value and cash flow I would definitely consider that but to take that big a hit would not work for me right now. I will see if I can get good comps or an appraisal just to see how bad the hit would be but I think I have to give it a shot for right now. Call me an idiot and I may regret it but it's all part of the learning curve, i guess.
Bill, I wanted to follow up on a couple of the points you made in your post and your tough situation.
I paid cash and own the property outright and can't afford the loss right now
Wouldn't selling the property and receiving some of your cash back be better than having the property free and clear but having to put money in it year after year and still taking a loss down the road. I'm sure you are trying to be optimistic here, but based on where it is and who will live there, its going to be a struggle to keep this cash flow positive based on your situation. Even when rented and having the income you will have expenses that will be incurred. Management fees, leasing fees, and maintenance. Believe me in this area you will have maintenance expenses no matter the shape of the property now. With taxes and insurance coming as well its going to be tough for it to generate any cash based on the situation you have described. What will ultimately follow will be the eviction, legal, set out and future make ready expenses that will occur with whomever you do move in the property. You could find a tenant that does pay rent and take care of the place, but in these areas it often is reliant on an owner/manager who is very much on top of their property and spend a lot of time keeping the tenants in line.
If I can really see the downward trend I will think about other options but markets fluctuate and so do crime areas.
I do believe you are overestimating the area and potential here. Im sure most of the Memphis managers/operators/landlords on here would agree that this hasnt been nor will be an area of growth in the foreseeable future. It hasnt been since the 1980's and based on trends in the city wont be anytime soon. Sure markets change over time, but i would really think about a general statement such as that vs. an educated opinion from those who know the area. If anyone from or in Memphis would argue that Parkway Village has any positive outlook i would be surprised.
Its always hard to stomach a loss, but sometimes the direct hit is easier than the slow bleed followed ultimately by the same direct hit down the road