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All Forum Posts by: Bill Baldwin

Bill Baldwin has started 7 posts and replied 86 times.

Post: Anybody out there who is living in Japan?

Bill BaldwinPosted
  • Investor
  • Shibuya Ku, Tōkyō-to
  • Posts 90
  • Votes 36
Originally posted by @Adam L.:

@Daniel Mills, I too am in Tokyo. I just realized there are quite a few people here in Tokyo and there is a meetup. I am hoping to get out to the next one. 

Welcome to our Tokyo investors group, Adam!

Post: What Is The Most Expensive Market In the Seven Kingdoms (GoT)

Bill BaldwinPosted
  • Investor
  • Shibuya Ku, Tōkyō-to
  • Posts 90
  • Votes 36

The answer is the Rock.  And it's probably not even particularly close.

Post: Pacific Asset Management (Japan)

Bill BaldwinPosted
  • Investor
  • Shibuya Ku, Tōkyō-to
  • Posts 90
  • Votes 36

Whatever you do, stay away from PAM. I can chat or mail you details but basically they lie about so much of their buildings that many banks won't deal with them anymore.

There are more reputable brokers who work with foreigners  (or if you speak Japanese many more) the ones I know are all Tokyo based but happy to recommend a few.

Post: Konnichiwa from Tokyo

Bill BaldwinPosted
  • Investor
  • Shibuya Ku, Tōkyō-to
  • Posts 90
  • Votes 36
Originally posted by @Daniel Mills:

I'm so jealous guys. I wish I lived in Kanto. It's so lonely down here in Kansai. I'm going to have to start a meetup.

I'm actually on a Shinkansen down to Osaka as I write this - although not with the intent of scoping any properties! Know a couple guys who have purchased in Kansai, although they all live in Tokyo. I was close myself once.

Post: American Living in Japan, wants to invest in the US

Bill BaldwinPosted
  • Investor
  • Shibuya Ku, Tōkyō-to
  • Posts 90
  • Votes 36
Originally posted by @David Powell:

Thanks @Ashley T.!  I reached out to them.   Appreciate the connection.  

Thanks for the reply @Alan Sue!  I have heard of the meet up.  I work pretty close so i'll check it out one of these months.   Investing in Japan scares me.  I think you are fighting depreciation and I just don't know enough about the market and I've been here a long time.   I would love to hear from anyone who has had positive experience in Japan investing.   Do you have a turn key company that you use and recommend?  

Hey David let me know if you'd like to link up sometime. I've been in Japan for a number of years been and purchased both here and back in the US, and surprisingly Japan has been a much better investing experience, especially if you qualify for local 100% LTV Japan bank loans.

Post: Cleveland Ohio market

Bill BaldwinPosted
  • Investor
  • Shibuya Ku, Tōkyō-to
  • Posts 90
  • Votes 36

This is actually quite interesting.  I have a buddy from just south of Cleveland and we've been passively discussing potentially investing there as he has experience in a few flips and holds over the past 20-30 years, all of which he's long since sold out of as hasn't lived in the area in some time, although his family all still does.  But he just went back to visit a week ago for the first time in a couple years and was commented on how he was floored by how rough the city was and the crime rate, and that outside of the universities and a couple industries a lot of the city has essentially become a welfare state.  One interesting comment he did have however is that there has been an influx in migration from Asia, which I thought was interesting, not sure the reasoning behind it.  He mentioned that low income housing could be a potential play, but that's not what either of us are looking for at the moment.  Either way we've both decided to hold off and look elsewhere for the time being. 

Post: 2017-18 Housing Bubble?

Bill BaldwinPosted
  • Investor
  • Shibuya Ku, Tōkyō-to
  • Posts 90
  • Votes 36
Originally posted by @James Hong:

I understand it is impossible to know how big or when a housing bubble will happen, but just curious to see other people's thoughts on subject. In the event of a bubble, what would your strategy be? Is it smart to try to invest now while interest rates are low or to wait until housing prices goes down and deal with higher interest rates? Would places like the Silicon Valley be affected?

All opinions and perspectives are welcome! Just my random thought for the day

Let me ask you a question. Monthly payments being the same, would you rather buy at a lower price but with a higher interest rate on your loan, or vice versa?

Post: Which? Seattle, Burlington, Minneapolis, Madison, Grand Rapids...

Bill BaldwinPosted
  • Investor
  • Shibuya Ku, Tōkyō-to
  • Posts 90
  • Votes 36

You didn't have a "g." in your list, so let me add one:

g. Brooklyn

Where better to invest than in your own backyard? Even if you're leaving the area, Brooklyn/NYC is about as safe of an investment as anywhere!

Post: What are you investing in with your Solo 401K?

Bill BaldwinPosted
  • Investor
  • Shibuya Ku, Tōkyō-to
  • Posts 90
  • Votes 36

Stocks, few bonds. My cash is in RE happy having some equity/bond market exposure I can just invest and not think about for 30 years.

Post: Foreigners Investing in the USA & Abroad

Bill BaldwinPosted
  • Investor
  • Shibuya Ku, Tōkyō-to
  • Posts 90
  • Votes 36
Originally posted by @Michael J.:


Originally posted by @Bill Baldwin:

As an American living in Tokyo who's been extremely active in the Japanese real estate market since diving in head first 4 years ago, I feel like I could write a book about my experiences... and yet I often feel like I'm still new to the game, and find myself learning something new everyday.

Long story short in REI in Japan:

Japan banks offer 100% LTV loans - including all closing fees, insurance, and taxes - for in excess of 30x your pre-tax annual salary at anywhwere from 1-4.5% over 23-40 years.

There are zero tenant issues in Japan. Zero. All tenans need either an individual or "guarantor company" to back them, who is legally responsible for rent if the tenant doesn't pay.

Property management companies are reliable, do everything for you, and charge less than 5% gross rents. Some are obvioisly better than others, but I've never heard of any screwing people as they can (I know this all too well) in the US, as many are run by larger Japanese companies.

Properties in Japan actually depreciate over time. The majority of the value of most properties however (generally 2/3rds on average) are in the value of the land, and not the building itself. Since the bubble crash 27 years ago land values have stayed mostly flat, with a bit of an uptick the past few years (conversation for a different time).

Tenants must pay 1 month rent to renew their contract every 2 years, however initial leasing fee can run you anywhere from 1-3 months rent, depending on location.

Japan population is slowly decreasing overall, so buying anywhere outside of a few major cities is a recipe for future disaster, no matter the caps they offer now.

Speaking of caps, Tokyo cap rates have been compressed pretty tight over the past 5 years. A few of the other major cities aren't far behind.

The entire closing process is crazy. There are generally no inspections, and no escrow. I actually am in the process of selling a property, and as the buyers just transferred 10 million yen (just under $100k) to my bank account for the down payment. But there's no "in contract" period and they're performing no inspections, and if they don't transfer me the agreed sales amount on the date we agreed to they have to pay me 20% of the sales price in cash and lose the deal (same goes for me if I pull outta the deal early). And yes I'm totally hoping they cancel and have to pay the 20%, but not counting on it.

Depreciation scheduled are dependent on the construction material of the building (concrete, brick, steel, wood, etc.) and the year build. 

The tax laws here are antiquated, and quite frankly a bit whacked, for lack of a better word. There are some massively exploitable loopholes, but also a few things you have to be extremely careful about.

I could go on and on but... happy to field any questions people may have!

Hi @Bill Baldwin, thanks for the very indepth account of the Japanese RE market. I have purchased some property in the US and am looking to make my first purchase in Tokyo, in the next few months. 

I have been in Japan for a few years now but don't have Permanent Residency, do you know of any banks that will lend to expats without that (still with those great terms)? The loans you referenced, are they for single family units or will they also work for multifamily properties (5-10 units).

There a couple options for a foreigner without PR loan wise, I can PM you details.

These are for multi-unit buildings.