Hi all, I seem to have stumbled on a unique opportunity that I would like to pursue further, but I don't have the tools/resources to properly evaluate whether I have a deal or not. There is 1.5 acres of land in a prime Central Coastal California location along the 101. I have been seeking value add self storage opportunities and this property has about 85 units that fits the bill. The storage is located on 0.5 acres. The other acre contains about 17 trailers and 5 houses. I spoke with the owner who was willing to sell but would only sell the two lots together.
Current Income: self storage brings in about $11k/month and the trailer park brings in about $14k/month. He has owned these for over 20 years and likely has a low tax basis, so anyone familiar with Prop 13 knows my future tax expense would likely eat into a lot of that cash flow.
I think I can get the self storage to about $13k/month.
The Ask: The owner previously had this site under contract to a group for $4.5 million and structured it to limit his 1031 exposure. The terms were $500k at close with a $4m seller financing note costing $13k/month. The seller was giving the previous group a 6 year term before the rest was owed. In the meantime, the prior buyers were planning on building about 25 small homes on the 1 acre lot (think ~500 SF footprints or so).
My Conundrum: after thinking through the possibilities, I stumbled on a Twitter thread where someone had been to a luxury RV park in Wyoming which flipped a light bulb on in my head. The 1 acre would be perfect for a "glamping" style AirBNB resort. You are about 2 miles from the beach and AirDNA has stated the occupancies in the area have remained high as its a "drive-to" destination that did not get hurt as bad during the pandemic. Average nightly is around $200. I don't know the first thing about cost to develop a pre-fab style cabin resort, nor do I know anything about cost to operate, analyzing and valuing it too. My back of napkins numbers show I need it to be worth at least $3.5m plus Project Costs based on what I think I can raise the value of the self storage property to hit my return goal.
My question to you all is...is this a deal??