I can tell you that as an agent/investor I put my money where my mouth is. I am looking to buy my 7th property in Austin right now. People have been waiting for the crash in Austin for 40 years. Look at the sales data over the past 4 decades. A continuous stream up. Why? Because we have a huge government and university job base that keeps us out of any big dips. Austin is not the place to maximize cash flow but it is the place to maximize return on investment. So if you can afford a little negative cash flow the first few years you will be very happy you jumped in the market now. The 150 people moving here every day think our prices are very low. Show me another city with our job growth, voted the best place to live in the US 4 years in a row, that still has brand new homes in the $300,000 range 20 minutes from downtown. Yes, 5 years ago that number was closer to $250K but 5 years from now it most likely will start with a 4 or even 5. There are no guarantees but 40 years of data, tens of thousands of new jobs, Tesla, Apple, Oracle, Amazon, Google, and 100's more still building here tells me if you are waiting for a crash, you will be like so many saying the #1 quote by far that I hear - "I wish I would have started investing earlier".