Skip to content
×
PRO
Pro Members Get Full Access!
Get off the sidelines and take action in real estate investing with BiggerPockets Pro. Our comprehensive suite of tools and resources minimize mistakes, support informed decisions, and propel you to success.
Advanced networking features
Market and Deal Finder tools
Property analysis calculators
Landlord Command Center
$0
TODAY
$69.00/month when billed monthly.
$32.50/month when billed annually.
7 day free trial. Cancel anytime
Already a Pro Member? Sign in here
Pick markets, find deals, analyze and manage properties. Try BiggerPockets PRO.
x
All Forum Categories
All Forum Categories
Followed Discussions
Followed Categories
Followed People
Followed Locations
Market News & Data
General Info
Real Estate Strategies
Landlording & Rental Properties
Real Estate Professionals
Financial, Tax, & Legal
Real Estate Classifieds
Reviews & Feedback

All Forum Posts by: Aaron Gordy

Aaron Gordy has started 84 posts and replied 1183 times.

Post: Houston/Southeast Texas area!

Aaron Gordy
Agent
Posted
  • Real Estate Broker
  • Austin, TX
  • Posts 1,217
  • Votes 1,004

@Kaycie Gunn Congrats! How about Crystal Beach? I know that is a popular destination and its easy to commute to from the golden triangle. It was popular spot to hang out when I was a kid back in the day and my grandfather did really well with renting it out as a holiday hang out. Not sure if the demand is still there but they lived large on two rentals in Port Arthur area and the Crystal Beach home. 

Post: the trend that company move to Texas

Aaron Gordy
Agent
Posted
  • Real Estate Broker
  • Austin, TX
  • Posts 1,217
  • Votes 1,004
Quote from @Alan F.:
Quote from @Aaron Gordy:

What is your rationale for suggesting that those statisticians are inaccurate? 


 U3 unemployment "rate" doesn't tell the whole story, there's more to unpack. Check BLS & U6

VC bailed in July, Y combinator meetings look more like a beggars banquet & pitch decks are worth less than a deck of cards.

Its somewhat doubtful that AI will carry the bulk of the labor force, especially considering it's designed target is eliminating $180k year admins etc.

Yes we've always been the tech hub, the question is how much market compression will happen in "middle income jobs" 120k to 180k

4-1-24 fast food min.wage is $20 p/hr

All things being relative of course most will be ok, but market compression does affect some, not all, but some. Chances are there'll be more outmigration to Texas.

BTW I love texas, all my ex's are there 😉


 Behind every set of numbers is a story or multiple stories that help explain the situation. In aggregate though it shows trends. Texas has always been a great place to do business and Texas and Texans has always been known for wild west big bets that make or break fortunes. Even the Simpsons poked fun with Richard "Rich" Texan and Shady Bird Johnson... lol. Also the Ex's laws (alimony) in Texas are very good relative to CA. Trade up... joking. 

Post: the trend that company move to Texas

Aaron Gordy
Agent
Posted
  • Real Estate Broker
  • Austin, TX
  • Posts 1,217
  • Votes 1,004

What is your rationale for suggesting that those statisticians are inaccurate? 

Post: the trend that company move to Texas

Aaron Gordy
Agent
Posted
  • Real Estate Broker
  • Austin, TX
  • Posts 1,217
  • Votes 1,004
Quote from @Carlos Ptriawan:
Quote from @David M.:

@Bruce Woodruff

Yeah, its just what I see, from NJ...

The sales tax is much higher for one.  That makes it much more regressive.

As for the property tax, I absolutely admit it I don't know.  If you notice I don't address it directly.  I'm from NY/NJ area and invest locally.  So, "all of you yuse" just don't make sense.  In poking around, in the greater Houston area there is a 8000 sq ft house with yards and pool has a property tax of I think $5.5k...  My 2000 sqft house with some grass, no pool in a purposely cheaper municipality is $15k.  You can't even get a crappy starter home in the "rural areas" out here for less than $7k of taxes  LOL

Then, there is the CONCEPT that renters do pay property taxes, just indirectly through their rent.

(shrug) :)


 You live in area near Parsippany ? During dotcom bust I also tried to move out of CA, to your area in NJ near 287/Route 22. But the environment and tech scene there was depressing for someone from the bay LOL  it was like 1/8 of the bay. But that time, home price is still 400k-ish in the bay, while our wage relatively remains the same. Good thing about NJ is there're abundant of Indian grocery store just like in the bay, that would attract tech talent for sure. In bay the grocery store was like every 0.4 miles, much more easier to find Biryani joint than burger joint. NJ can become tech center due to Rutgers and Princeton, but it never developed, I see Austin and RTP is more developing in tech scene, although there're not much university in RTP. Austin has A&M.

 You kinda answered your own concern by saying that you were considering moving to NJ but didn't due to the relative tech scene. Lets face it. The Bay area has all the infrastructure in place already. Venture capital is very prevalent there. If one has an incredible tech idea then its much more likely to get funded in the bay area vs nj or even austin. Two, the local universities such as Berkeley and Stanford are very unique, internationally known excellence and devoted to the tech scene producing top notch tech folks. 

Atx has a tech scene but it pales in comparison to the bay area. We have University of Texas and Texas State to the south of Austin. Although both are great universities they aren't in the unique position as Stanford and Berkeley. We do have venture capital but its relatively small. 

It doesn't really sound like the Bay Area is going through a seismic change in work. https://labormarketinfo.edd.ca.gov/file/lfmonth/sanf$pds.pdf According to the data that is coming out the bay area unemployment is at 3.4% and increase from 2.4%. Even though its an increase its not out of the norm for the country. It seems that tech work has decreased but its not a tidal wave nor do I expect it. The bay area has been synonymous with tech innovation for decades. 

Post: New Austin initiative - HOME - 3 units on any single-family parcel in the city

Aaron Gordy
Agent
Posted
  • Real Estate Broker
  • Austin, TX
  • Posts 1,217
  • Votes 1,004

You may want to slow your roll until after the city starts actually taking applications. If history is indicative of the future, there is usually a lawsuit or two that tends to throw a monkey wrench into the rewriting of city code. 

Post: Should I Sell This House in Austin?

Aaron Gordy
Agent
Posted
  • Real Estate Broker
  • Austin, TX
  • Posts 1,217
  • Votes 1,004

I think more info is needed to offer solid advice. For example, I would take a loss, if it put me in a lower tax bracket that would actually save me substantially more money than the loss. Also consider that the values and rents would likely rise. There will likely also be very little maintenance costs for years to come as its a new build. In the real estate game, one can lose on a monthly basis but win substantially on a yearly basis given all the other tax benefits with real estate investment such as depreciation. 

Post: as unemployment would be 100% going up next year and higher chance of recession

Aaron Gordy
Agent
Posted
  • Real Estate Broker
  • Austin, TX
  • Posts 1,217
  • Votes 1,004

Good points! I think that there is a change going on but such is life. Its always evolving. AI is the new wave it seems. Its pretty exciting... 

Post: as unemployment would be 100% going up next year and higher chance of recession

Aaron Gordy
Agent
Posted
  • Real Estate Broker
  • Austin, TX
  • Posts 1,217
  • Votes 1,004

@Carlos Ptriawan uummm the unemployment numbers are getting lower month over month.... yoy it has gone up from 2.84% to 3.34%. Let's be real though: 3.34% is crazy low! Its very very tough to find good help around here. I am in the process of hiring a finance professional to help as my development business grows. Indeed sent me 55 folks. Every one of the folks that I reached out to were unhappy with their current positions and were looking to move around. Only one person was unemployed but that was by choice. All were sharp. Its a scramble. I found one that is a great fit, thank goodness! This posting about WARN from the fed is interesting though. But from my boots on the ground experience its not easy getting good help. Austin metro is a job creating machine. Is the sky falling? Nope. 

Post: How would you start investing if you had $150k???

Aaron Gordy
Agent
Posted
  • Real Estate Broker
  • Austin, TX
  • Posts 1,217
  • Votes 1,004

@Account Closed maybe Bill Gate's was a bad example. I know many folks that started a business with just a business card, telephone, a vehicle and ambition. 

"My overall goal is to buy enough doors to supplement working full time so one day I can focus full-time on becoming an entrepreneur" 


It seems that his goal is to become a full time entrepreneur and that 150k sure could buy alot of gas and business cards. If he is nervous about taking the leap and it seems that he is since he is asking advice from this forum, then rental properties are a great way to supplement your income and provide a proven pathway to wealth and/or entrepreneurship.  

Post: BPCon 2024 Location?

Aaron Gordy
Agent
Posted
  • Real Estate Broker
  • Austin, TX
  • Posts 1,217
  • Votes 1,004

Ummmm no Austin Tejas has quite a few venues that can host way more than 3000 people.