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Posted almost 9 years ago

Here's What To Do About The Real Estate Bubble That Could Burst...

Why do some investors make money in real estate while others do not? 

You could point to many different reasons, and some might even say that the successful investor was lucky in their timing. However, there’s a key investing skill that is often thought to be a myth, yet it’s absolutely true.

I’m talking about the crystal ball – the ability for an investor to gaze into the future and predict what will happen. Successful investors seem to be able to gaze into the future, act on what they’ve seen, and ultimately profit from their seemingly “magical prophecies”… all while other investors sit on the sidelines amazed.

I know of MANY investors who did exactly that in 2005, 2006, and 2007… and profited wildly when the market crashed in 2007/2008. And I know of many more people who saw the signs, didn’t understand what they meant, and struggled through the exact same time period.

Well, you probably already knew that it has nothing to do with a crystal ball. In reality, investors with impeccable timing are really those that can read the signs and have the courage to act, while the world is still scratching their head and wondering what to do.

Kent-Clothier-quote-no-such-thing-as-a-crystal-ball

If you’re an investor who wishes you had that “crystal ball ability” to read the signs, you’re going to LOVE this article from Reuters, the news publishing company, , which reported on some analysis conducted by RealtyTrac.

Flipping – buying a house (perhaps a distressed house or a house from a motivated seller) and then flipping it fast (perhaps with some modest repairs) for a profit has always been big, thanks to shows on various television networks that show people making big money from it.

In 2005, house flipping reached a peak in some markets in the US and that hinted at a housing bubble. (Of course it wasn’t the only contributor to the housing bubble but it’s a good indicator of a housing bubble). Reuters quotes an economist from the RealtyTrac report who said “When home flipping numbers go up, it is usually an indication that the housing market is in trouble.

And, according to the RealtyTrac analysis, flipping levels in 2015 actually exceeded those peaks set in 2005. In some markets, those numbers were exceeded by 20% and in three markets, those numbers were exceeded by 50%!

There is profit to be made during an economic recession if you invest wisely. And there might be no such thing as a crystal ball but astute investors should be aware that this type of analysis is the next best thing, further hinting at what other economists and news outlets are warning – of a significant economic recession in the very near future.

So the question is: how will YOU prepare to benefit with the economic instability that’s just around the corner?

I'd love to read your comments below... if you think there could be economic instability in the future (whether near or far from now)... what are you doing to prepare? 

(Me? I'm always building my team, refining my systems, and tightening up my daily practices. It's just good business in good times AND bad).


Comments (3)

  1. Great post Kent and comment Lakeem!  I'm a new investor ( just bought our first buy and hold which is a SFR with detached in-law cottage.  We are house hacking it and living in the smaller cottage.)  We are already looking for our next SFR or multi.  As we are new to the game, we have little to nothing in terms of experience.  I read a lot of BP posts and search other information online.  Wondering what the data has shown you in terms of this potential upcoming bubble?  In your opinion, does it look like we are right on the verge of another drop or do you think we have another year or two?  Don't worry.... I know to do my own due dilligence on any market cycles and properties we buy.  I'm not looking for legal/financial advice.  Just curious what you think the impending bubble time line is?

    --JT Aleman


  2. Buying during a market drop is a good strategy, but... 

    The Criteria you use to make buying decisions shouldnt change JUST because prices drop, a low price doesn't always equal a good investment, "price is what you pay value is what you get". Factors like location, cash flow (if you buy and hold) and tax strategies, etc still have to be considered. 

    When the market is dropping I look at it as an opportunity to negotiate more effectively. So I'd Invest A LOT more into marketing during a crash, but I wouldn't buy the house with the tree growing through the roof and foundation issues in a war zone just because it's 20cents on the dollar...I've seen people do it. 


  3. Buy, buy, buy