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Updated about 2 years ago on . Most recent reply

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Katie Miller
  • General Manager, Publishing at BiggerPockets
  • Denver, CO
624
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What do you think will happen to residential mortgage rates for the rest of 2023?

Katie Miller
  • General Manager, Publishing at BiggerPockets
  • Denver, CO
ModeratorPosted

What's your prediction for mortgage interest rates this year? Up, down, or all around? 

What do you think and why? 

Share your thoughts below! 👇👇👇👇

And, if you're still learning the basics of learning the method behind the madness of mortgage rates, check out this article by Lindsey Frankel on our blog to get started! 

Edited to add: If you're curious what the CEO of BiggerPockets (@Scott Trench) thinks on this subject, read more here!

Rates will bounce around, but on average be higher than they are today
Rates will remain flat with where they are today
Rates will reduce throughout the year—we've hit the peak
Rates have nowhere to go but up, up, up!
*Shrug* I'm still learning the difference between Treasury Yields, Treasures, and a Tape Measure

Most Popular Reply

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Michael Hutchinson
  • Lender
  • Fort Mill, SCinstal
64
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68
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Michael Hutchinson
  • Lender
  • Fort Mill, SCinstal
Replied

I think they smooth down some.  FYI, I am a lender and there are 3 trains of thoughts that I typically hear bantered around: 

1)  We enter recession - Traditionally, rates fall in this scenario

2)  Inflation continues, Fed keeps on hiking rates and/or black swan event like Russian tactical nuke - Rates will rise again if things feel out of control and the fed raises the fed rates.

3)  We kind stay where we are economically - This should drop rates.  The traditional relative risk when comparing the 10 year treasury and 30 yr mortgage rate is 1.7%.  It hit almost 3% and is moving back down now.  That is key to the recent drop in rates.  If that continues, you should see additional compression in rates.   Chart on this rate spread below to help see the volatility.  

https://www.blackknightinc.com... 

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