How long will the current RE expansion cycle last?

[Scott Szurek]

I was curious about previous real estate cycles and came across this short article: "How to Use Real Estate Trends to Predict the Next Housing Bubble", by Ted Nicolais (2014).

http://www.dce.harvard.edu/professional/blog/how-use-real-estate-trends-predict-next-housing-bubble 

I am wondering what you BiggerPocket REI's think about the current trend. Are we still in recovery or expansion? I know prices have recovered or even surpassed the bubble prices from 2006 in most areas, but supply is still limited throughout. If expansion has already started, how long do you think this trend will last? How do existing home sales come into play?

[Leland Barrow]

I bet if you data mined BP you could use this site as a trend predictor. When interest in real estate investing (BP) peaks it is sign that the national market is shifting. As someone already mentioned regional markets can be different. When the writing on the wall is "this is a great investment option" and people start flocking to it then it is time to pull back and watch the fun. Combine that with large investment firm activity and you can get an idea of where the expansion cycle is.

I asked my teen niece why she is no longer on Facebook and she said "because grandma is on there". When grandma is talking about brrrr, SFR, and MFR then it is time to be a bit cautious.