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Updated almost 5 years ago,
Need Some Help Analyzing This Deal
Hi everyone, I want some advice on a house I am looking at. It is a new build in Nashville, TN and is in an "up and coming" neighborhood, about 4 miles from downtown. When I went to the property in person, you could tell the area used to be rough, but has been overtaken by new builds and higher-income residents. I did a deep look into crime around the area and nothing too horrible came up. It is improving rapidly and the home prices have been reflecting that. There is a new development project happening not too far away from the property and I truly expect property values in this area to soar, as it becomes more "livable" for people.
I believe that I can add value in this situation by purchasing the property in a neighborhood that most aren't willing to move into yet, but eventually will based on proximity to downtown. It is going for $380k and I planning to use an FHA loan that would cost me $2325/month. If this property was in a nicer area, you probably wouldn't be able to get it for under $500k (?rough guess).
However, when looking at rent comps I see most going in between the range of $700-$800 and would consider $700/month a safe estimate. However, I think I can be more aggressive with asking for rent because I have a decent network from college and can offer a private bathroom/bedroom with fellow chill young professional roommates. I already have a friend willing to pay $800 + utils.
My problem with this is that I went into house hacking focused on producing a slightly positive/break-even cash flow. While I never wanted to make a ton of money off it and was willing to pay a premium to avoid rehabbing(I work 50-60 hrs/week in another industry), I am not sure if I am talking myself into making a dumb decision. I honestly believe the worst case scenario of this deal will put me in the red monthly by $500 max (still def less than the rent I pay now lol). But I see potential in the area and want a piece of that market as a longer-term, appreciation play (I know its the risky option), so I am conflicted. It is hard to find anything much cheaper in this area suitable for house hacking that doesn't require a ton of work.
Thanks for your time.