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Updated almost 7 years ago,
Please help me analyze this my first property :)
Hello BP community, after hours of education via books, podcasts, and meeting with local investors, I have built my own cashflow spreadsheet and attempted to analyze a random local property on Realtor.com to practice my analysis skills. Please let me know if you guys can find any fatal errors or deficiencies in my analysis. BIG THANK in advance!
Realtor Link: Link to Realtor.com
Property Address: 996 E 4th St, Pomona, CA 91766 (East of Los Angeles)
Property type: MFR (fourplex) with 2/1, 2/1, 1/1 and 1/1 (built 1938)
Property size: 2,536 sqft (living) and 6,008 (lot)
Listed Price: $799,000.00 ($315/sqft) on market for 41 days
Actual Rents: $4,270.00 ($1,270 + $900 + $1,050 + $1,050) to section 8 tenants
Assumptions:
- Strategy: House hacking. But I'd like to run the numbers in the scenario as I move out after 2 years living there to check the cashflow
- Financing: owner occupied conventional loan
- Downpayment: 5%
- Interest rate: 4%
- Loan period: 30 years (fixed)
- Vacancy of 5%, Repairs of 5%, Capex of 5%, and PM of 10%
- I assume I can get 10% discount based on how long it's been on the market (purchase price of $719,100)
- I used Realtor.com from the link and based on purchase price of $719,100 it gives me prop tax of $749
- I relied on the listing agent data of $92 per month for home insurance
- I relied on the listing agent data of $112.50 per month for water, $112.50 for sewage, $95 for garbage, and $60 for lawn care (assuming the tenants pay for their own electricity and gas)
- I left PMI to be 0 since I do not know how to calculate this
Result:
Based on assumptions and MLS listing, this property cashflow -$1,280.00 (aka, a horrible investment). Rent rate of 0.59% (far below 1% rule), and OPEX of 44.7% (pretty close to Brandon Turner 50% rule).
Questions:
1. When screening properties, what is the quickest way to estimate PMI for low downpayment (5-10%)?
2. Do you guys rely on Realtor.com to estimate annual prop. tax based on purchase price?
3. Do you guys use selling agent Pro Forma rent ($5,000) or actual rent ($4,270) to run the numbers? I do not know why one of 2/1 unit has rent for $1,270 while the other is only $900.
4. Do you aim for $100 per door or $400 (for this fourplex specifically) of cashflow as a minimum before you even bother to look at the property in person?
5. Do you trust and use the listing agent data on home insurance of $92 a month for your calculation?
6. Did I miss anything important or critical that made my analysis inadequate?
Thanks guys!
Excel: