First Deal - 4plex in a college town

[Greg Lott]

Hello everyone,

I’ve analyzed several deals over the past 2 or 3 weeks and finally have come across one I think might be a winner. It’s a 4-plex in a nearby college-town. The house is about as far from the university as you can get while still being in the town (about a 1 mile/20 minute walk). Asking price is $179,900, and supposed rent is $650/month for two of the units (2 bed), $675/month for the other two (3 bed). This property also comes with a 2 unit garage. It was built in 1940 and has been on the market for 131 days. Owner paid water and heat from what I can tell off the listing sheet. Would also have to include lawn care (small yard) and snow removal (side walk).

Asking: $179,900

Projected closing cost (provided by lender): $8,000

Down payment (20%): $35,980

Monthlies:

Mortgage (30 yr fixed rate at 4.75%): $751/mo

Vacancy (5%): $132.50

Maintenance (10%): $265

Insurance (their number): $158.75

Property Tax: $304.17

Utilities (complete guess at this time, $2500/yr): $208.33

Management (don’t plan to use): $265

Cap Ex (10%): $265

Contingency (5% added to all expenses)

Total Monthly Expenses: $2467

Rent Income: $2650

Monthly Cash Flow: $183

CoC ROI: 5%

NOI: $2196

Unknowns:

Rent (numbers provided by listing agent, will need to verify 100%)

Utilities

Insurance (probably won’t change enormously, though)

The reason the seller is selling

Notes: To me my estimates seem conservative (which I always aim for). With a perfect situation (ie removing management fees and the 5% contingency), I end up with over $550/mo in cash flow. This says to me that, even in the event of a miscalculation I’ll still cash flow decently. Am I missing anything crazy? I think I might even be able to get a slightly better deal on this place, solely because it’s been listed for over 4 months. I have not visited the property yet, but barring any crazy notes from the listing agent, I will likely set up an appointment in the next week or so. Let me know your thoughts.