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Updated almost 8 years ago,
Do you want to play a game?
Hi
So I am new to REI and one of the things I am doing is just practicing analysis on loopnet listings. I am actually planning on investing with syndicates, but to educate myself I am looking at all aspects of REI. I was searching in my hometown and came across and old convent. I thought it might be a fun exercise to put it out to the community, what would you do to this property. Or would you never buy it even for a $1.
I am not all that creative, so below is my very conservative analysis of turning it into an SRO. convert 1 of the rooms to a bathroom, so you have 7 small rooms, 1 master with a bath and 2 shared bathrooms for the 7 small rooms.
Misc information from assessor page
http://www.co.pueblo.co.us/cgi-bin/webatrallbroker...
- It is zoned commercial retirement home
- It was bought from the church for $60,000 in Aug 2016, so despite the loopnet description I suspect it is not "rehabbed"
- They really do only pay $282 in taxes a year
- The owner is from Denver, so out of town, probably would be happy to make 10-20k for a few month hold. I bet you could get it for 70-80, but I assumed 100 as worst case
- Bishop Buswell, who built it, was a really cool guy, I knew him, he was a real staple of the Catholic Church. My dad used to call him "Buzz Baby" which my Mom thought would earn all of us a front seat in hell :-)
- You can do a Google walkaround yourself, but I can tell you the neighborhood is poor working class, but not a crime haven. Best description is old.
- I assumed rents of $400 for the small rooms based on a discount from $650-1000 in the houses in the area. I would be interested in your opinion but that is a huge discount. You would own the bottom end of the market, even in Pueblo.
- I bumped the master with the private bath to $500
- Converting 1 room to a bath loses some revenue, but 8 people sharing 1 bath just seems like too much. On the other hand your prospective tenets cant be choosers, so your decide.
- I tried to overestimate expenses. For example I assume 1 of the rooms is always vacant every month. 10% for all expenses and about twice what I think you would really pay on utilities. So in the end operational expenses were 66% of income not the normal 50% estimate. Pueblo is actually a very inexpensive place to live so 50% is probably a good estimate, but I wanted to be conservative.
- 30k for renovation is way conservative especially considering the rooms have plumbing so converting 1 to a bathroom will not involve re-routing lines.
- I also assumed a loan that was expensive based on SROs being hard to finance. But I did some research, there are FHA loans for SROs. You would find something eventually.
- I valued the final property at an 8% cap. Maybe I should have put a 10% cap, but that does not matter to cashflow analysis. You are not buying this property for appreciation.
Conclusion
- It actually cashflows. I was shocked, even with all the conservative assumptions.
- If you estimate expenses at 50% of income, it goes up to 20k NOI and a COC return of 35% (WOW). Actually buy it for 70-80 k and you are talking an immense return.
- I think the biggest unknown is can you run it as an SRO. The zoning is commercial retirement, so if all the tenets are over 55 I think you fit into the existing zoning without any change. Thought?
But I am a rank amateur. I know you all can do better. Tell me what you would do with it.
Or, is a property in poor area of a tertiary market doomed to sit forever. It seems like 1 of the rules that people keep repeating is "buy in upcoming markets". This is a stable, but poor neighborhood. It was always this way, and I don't see it changing ever.
Convent Conversion | ||
901 E Evans Ave | ||
Pueblo CO, 81004 | ||
Purchase Price | 100000 | |
After Repair Value | 167,000 | |
Closing Costs | 5000 | |
Estimated Repair | 30000 | |
Down Payment | 20000 | |
Loan Info | 80,000 @ 5%, 2 points, 25 years | |
7 small | 400 | 2800 |
1 master | 500 | 500 |
Total Income | 3300 | |
Operation Expenses | ||
Vacancy (12%) | 400 | |
CapEx (10%) | 330 | |
Water | 200 | |
Insurance | 200 | |
Repairs (10%) | 330 | |
Electricity | 200 | |
Garbage | 200 | |
Management (10%) | 330 | |
Total | 2190 | |
Loan | 467.67 | |
Total Expense | 2657.67 | |
Total Cash Needed | 56,600 | |
NOI | 13,368 | |
COC ROI | 13.70% | |
Final Cap Rate | 8% | |
Monthly Cashflow | 646.33 |