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Updated 7 months ago on . Most recent reply
Where to invest cap ex reserves?
Most Popular Reply
Using credit instead of cash for reserves is an aggressive option that can increase your investment returns, but it increases risk: will credit still be available if/when you need it? Issuers can cancel credit cards at any time, even if your accounts are in perfectly good standing. HELOCs have more consumer protections, but they can still be dropped through no fault of your own. For example, a bank may cut or eliminate your HELOC if the housing market drops and you no longer have as much equity. Or, more likely, it just won't be renewed when you were counting on it.
Could you still handle capex if your HELOC vanished? What if that S&P 500 ETF was also worth only 50% of your initial investment? Would the answer still be yes if you lost your day job? How about if a number of your tenants all lost jobs and were unable to regularly pay rent? Perhaps the stress might then start getting to you and lead to an illness & expensive medical treatments that weren't fully covered by insurance. Maybe all that at once was the last straw for your marriage.
Sure, all of those seemingly unrelated things happening at once might seem far-fetched, but they lined up for many folks in 2008-2009.
In 1984 pyschologists Daniel Kahneman & Amos Tsversky showed how humans tend toward irrational risk-seeking when facing an expected loss -- a loss like holding cash (equivalents) during inflation. Are you wanting to lever to achieve a greater expected return or because you can't accept that loss?