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Updated almost 5 years ago on . Most recent reply

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Charlie Haa
  • New York City, NY
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If you had 300k to invest right now what would you do?

Charlie Haa
  • New York City, NY
Posted

I feel like turnkey would be the easiest to quickly get cashflow and expand the portfolio. But I fear that it wouldn't be fast enough. Multifamily would allow you to invest more at once, but they are flying off the shelves right now. What would you do? 

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Jonathan Twombly
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Brooklyn, NY
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Jonathan Twombly
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Brooklyn, NY
Replied

My honest answer is that you should study the markets and do nothing right now.  Because bargains are coming for those who are patient.

We're in a period of great flux, where no one really knows where things are headed and everyone is taking a cautious approach, including lenders.  That won't end just because the economy opens up again, because what we're going to see is that economic activity is still depressed - from a combination of the businesses that have already failed and the remaining caution about going into crowded places.  The only question is the degree of lost economic activity, not that economic activity will be lost.

Right now, we are in a situation where no one can accurately forecast, meaning everyone imagines the worst-case scenario.  As a prudent investor, you basically have to imagine that at this stage, because we lack adequate information.  This alone will cause prices to drop.  And it's already happened.  Green Street Advisors already notes that prices on its Commercial Property Price Index have dropped 10% across the board.

So, the point is - wait and see.  We are very early in this yet.  Three months into the Great Financial Crisis, most people were denying there was anything wrong with the economy at all, and to the extent there was, there would be a quick bounce-back.  It's always human nature to think so.  And it's always in the government's interest to tell you everything is going to be okay.

  • Jonathan Twombly
  • Podcast Guest on Show #172
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