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Question Surrounding Security Deposit
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You could keep the deposit and the tenant could very well assume he has no case as they were his cigarette burns and simply walk away. The tenant could could be very upset with this as the tenant knows the cigarette burns were already there but still walk away as he feels he has no casy.
On the other hand the tenant could be upset and then sue you for wrongfully withholding the security deposit. If this is the case the cost to defend yourself would likely be close to the amount of the security deposit assuming you even win the case.
In my opinion winning the case is a long shot. Without any proof that the burns were not there prior to this tenant living there you have a big chance of loosing that case as the burden of proof would be on you.