Mathematical decisions for flip vs. rent

Mathematical decisions for flip vs. rent

Member since 2020 · 3 posts · 0 votes

Hello everyone,

Historically I'm a BRRRR investor. I've recently encountered an interesting scenario that I hadn't considered before.

All following numbers are approximations and exclude any tax implications:

I've recently purchased a property for $90k. After settlement and repairs, I will have spent $127k. The ARV is $150k and we can assume a 75% LTV, with a 4.25% interest on the loan with a 25 year amortization.

After applying my formulas, I can flip the property and make $10k today. Otherwise, I can keep the property and leverage it. After leverage, I will be out of pocket about $16k and I will net a positive $500 a month cash flow ($6k per year).

I am trying to decide which path to take and I'm using NPV calculations. However, even after I have the numbers in front of me, I can't decide on the right course of action. I seem to want to go back to my strategy and I think "my goal is to build a passive income portfolio, $10k now would not allow me to do anything more than I am already doing". However, this doesn't totally feel like the right answer either.

So specifically in a scenario where a property would "work" as either a flip or a rental, how do you objectively decide which option is financially better? What math and thresholds do you use and how do you decide?

-TIA

Igor

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  • Kenneth GarrettPro Member
    Investor · Florida Panhandle/Illinois · Member since 2016 · 4k+ posts · 3k+ votes
    6y

    @Igor Aybin

    Since you are a buy n hold investor I would go with the BRRRR method. The flip of 10K is very small. If you look at a CoC return your at 37.5% plus depreciation, mortgage pay down, property tax deduction and interest deduction. Maybe appreciation, but I don't consider it. It's a bonus if I receive some. In 32 months all your money is back and your ROI is infinity.

  • Member since 2020 · 3 posts · 0 votes
    6y

    @Kenneth

    Thanks for your reply. I completely agree that 10k is very small. What I am trying to understand is how do we know that. I'm looking for a financial/mathematical approach to making these decisions. As I'm sure you can imagine, there would be scenarios where the numbers are different from my example and we wouldn't be able to easily know right away what the right approach is.

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