Best Way to track the next Downturn

[Chuck Dangar]

I've been trying to learn the best way to track the next possible downturn and it sounds like from the experts it's going to be a huge devaluation of our currency instead of another subprime loan debacle.  I was trying to track the Yield curve to see current graphs online but couldn't figure it out on the US Dept of Treasury website and the link seems to be dead...hummm.  I know the deficit is insanely astronomical, stock market is a gamble and the housing market is slowing, but what is the best way to get a foggy but somewhat clear picture of what is going on?