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Updated about 2 years ago,
The Turnkey Trap?
At a recent BP podcast, episode 708, they were coaching three people on the show. One of them bought several turnkey properties, and she wanted to move into different strategies, which launched some talk about the "turnkey trap", referencing low cash flow and how fees and repairs would eat up any income over the long term. My initial reaction was that this was rather short-sighted as it focused on returns in the first few years of owning a turnkey rental (where cash flow is low, and you do end up paying top of market value for the property). But my understanding was that the real benefits of buy and hold residential rental real estate show up many years later through rent appreciation, value appreciation (which gets magnified via leverage), loan paydown and tax depreciation benefits. Such that in 10 years the cumulative investment returns from all of these factors is such that it wouldn't matter that you bought a turnkey rental at the high end of market value, because the returns would be substantial enough that you would not feel like you got into a trap. Sure, other strategies like BRRRR, STRs, and value-added CRE can yield significantly higher returns, but I see that more for someone that has a goal to achieve financial independence exclusively through real estate and quit their job in the next few years. In which case Turnkey might be a bit on the slow side to achieve that, but not a trap in my opinion.
To give more insight into my background, I have a full-time W2 job (unrelated to real estate) that I am happy with and have no plans or desire to quit anytime soon, so I am ok with the longgame of buy and hold real estate. I currently have three investment properties: a local rental I bought in 2010 and self-manage, a turnkey rental I bought in 2021, and a short-term rental I bought in 2022 and mostly self-manage. I am also invested in several syndications as a limited partner. I am also looking into buying my next turnkey rental (and have a goal of eventually having at least 5 Turnkey rentals)
What are your thoughts on whether Turnkey is a trap, or is it a reasonable and promising alternative to build wealth in real estate? If I am completely wrong and turnkey is truly a trap, I am definitely open to reconsider since I am still early in my Turnkey investment journey and would want to know sooner rather than later whether to shift my strategy.
Thanks :-)