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Updated almost 8 years ago on . Most recent reply

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12
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Chris Brown
  • Investor
  • SF Bay Area, CA
2
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12
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Cap Rates will the stay low or increase with higher interest rate

Chris Brown
  • Investor
  • SF Bay Area, CA
Posted

Interest rates for multi fam loans are up about 1% since the summer. The fed wants to raise rates to 2.5-3% over the next few years. How will this impact cap rates? Will investors take the long view and suffer less cash flow for a few years expecting to refi at lower rates or will cap rates increase 20%, 1- 1.5% and building prices fall 20%? 

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Russell Brazil
  • Real Estate Agent
  • Washington, D.C.
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Russell Brazil
  • Real Estate Agent
  • Washington, D.C.
ModeratorReplied

It is important to note that a cap rate is a snap shot in time and that is something people often forget. An asset in a highly desirable area will often have a low cap rate not because an investor is willing to take a lower return, but rather because high rent growth is priced into the assets value creating that low cap rate.  

Additionally cap rates are a measure of the markets perceived risk in an asset often. A high or low cap rate does not necessarily correspond to a high or low return.

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