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Updated about 1 year ago,
Syndications - pivot to new builds ?
So we all know the story by now that high interest rates and slowed rent growth have made it very difficult for sponsors to put together attractive multi-family deals on existing properties. The value-add or operational efficiency models are not necessarily strong enough to counter the headwinds. So, I'm seeing a few syndicators like BAM Capital getting into new builds and wondering how these will play out for us LPs.
Here are some questions that come to mind:
- Are construction costs are getting more manageable now that COVID supply chain issues are getting smoothed out?
- Cost of capital is still going to be high, but held for a shorter period, as a construction loan. So does this reduce interest rate risk?
- When the time comes to recapitalize (sell or refi) in a few years, will sustained higher interest rates significantly impact the profitability of the deal?
What do you guys think? Time to pivot to new builds, switch to another asset class, or stay on the sidelines?