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Updated about 4 years ago on . Most recent reply

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15
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Patrick V.
11
Votes |
15
Posts

Concerning foreclosure projections

Patrick V.
Posted

I know the answer to my question before I ask it: 'dont try and time the market, a good cashflowing deal will still be good even if the house price drops due to market corrections'

That being said, given everything that is going on, should I try and time the market?

To give some context, I am about to jump head first in to cash flowing rentals, intro post here, and am concerned about the foreclosure projections. 

According to Attom data, we should expect a large amount of foreclosures as 2021 rolls on due to federal eviction/foreclosure moratoriums being lifted. Also we are at an all time high of an already long housing boom, the cycle is bound to lead to a correction soon, right?

If my hypothesis is correct then holding on to cash and jumping in when there is a correction could be very profitable. If its wrong then I continue to sit on the sidelines. What do you suggest? I suppose I could invest a portion of my available funds and hold some in case we do see a correction that way I can jump in and pick up cheaper rentals, that way I am hedged either way. 

Thanks for any input!

Most Popular Reply

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20
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10
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Aaron Amuchastegui
Pro Member
  • Investor
  • Austin, TX
10
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20
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Aaron Amuchastegui
Pro Member
  • Investor
  • Austin, TX
Replied

When many foreclosures hit, there may be some additional opportunities to buy deals for much cheaper than you can right now, but it will be difficult to time when.   A foreclosure release would impact short term flippers more than long term holders.  If you are buying now for the long term, than a price correction, or more opportunities at a lower price in 3, 6 or 9 months shouldnt hurt that.

My opinion, I do believe a lot of foreclosures are coming, but thats not a reason to not invest now, but a reason to make sure you pick a good investment to start

  • Aaron Amuchastegui
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