Despite the Uncertain a Deal is a Deal...Right?

Despite the Uncertain a Deal is a Deal...Right?

Miami, FL · Member since 2017 · 12 posts · 8 votes

Hi Everyone!

My wife and I were ready to finally take action in a real estate investing career this year and then the virus struck. We are currently in negotiations with a seller on a newly renovated multifamily where one unit is currently occupied for what 2/5 the mortgage would be. We plan to live in the other unit which would make our mortgage payment equal to what we pay now in rent. I have run the numbers on the entire property as a rental assuming we move out in a couple years and rent both units and the numbers work great (15% COC ROI w/ $234 monthly cash flow). Our current lease expires in July so we will either have to renew or buy something by then. However, we are trying to decide if we should wait to see how this virus thing plays out. We are not worried for our job security, and we could afford the mortgage regardless of the other unit being rented out or not, but our closing costs and down payment would leave us with about 4 months reserve. But I also like to trust numbers and feel a deal is a deal and I don't think the seller will go any further down in price regardless of the outcome of the virus as I know what they paid for it and roughly how much money in renovations they spent and with our current offer they will hardly break even. What is everyone's thoughts??

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  • Member since 2018 · 2k+ posts · 1k+ votes
    6y

    @Drew Zervos have you run it through the buy and hold calculator. No one can give you any advice without seeing your numbers. The only numbers are ROI of 15% and cash flow of $234. Does this account for the soft costs. Vacancy 8%, Repairs 5%, and Capex 10%. Include PM of 10%.

  • Miami, FL · Member since 2017 · 12 posts · 8 votes
    6y

    Hi @Tim Herman,

    Sorry, but yes I got my numbers using the buy and hold calculator with 2% vacancy (realistic number in my market), 5% Maint and CAPEX (house was just fully renovated including electrical and plumbing with impact windows, roof was done in 2015) and 8% Management. Also note we don't plan on renting out both units for at least 2 years. It's a corner lot in a very up and coming area.

  • Member since 2018 · 2k+ posts · 1k+ votes
    6y

    @Drew Zervos So with what is going on now you think your tenants will stay an average of 4 years an 2 months before a turnover. That's a 2% vacancy. Capex at 5% is usually too low. Floors have a 10 year life span. Assume 1500 sf of flooring per unit. In my area it is $6 sf to replace. 3000 sf * $6 sf= $18000/ 10 year life span, 12 months in a year = $150 per month for 1 item. Roof 25 year life span. Put on in 2015 so only 20 years to recoup. Assume $7500 to replace. $7500/20 year life span left/ 12 month in a year= $31 per month. Two items are $180 per month.

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