Interest rate inversion--signs of recession in near future?

[Marc Winter]

Hi Guys,

Any finance/economist types able to bring this issue into focus for a long time real estate broker/investor:  

Recently the 90-day interest rate rose above the 10-year rate.  Normally, the longer the term the better the return.  A higher short-term rate shows investor thinking weakness in the future.  This inversion is, from what I have read, an indicator of pullback or recession in 1- to 2- years.   Any truth to this? 

[Steve Vaughan]

From what I gather, am inversion that lasts longer than 90 days is significant. I bet the Fed will lower rates before it lasts too long.

Trade tariffs are my near term equity trade triggers.  Anybody else buying the dip in car makers/ transportation index because of the new Mexico tariffs?  I placed a couple buy limits today.