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Updated about 1 year ago,
How To Analyze If A Flip Will Cash Flow - The Numbers That Work
One of the most often asked questions is how to get started in flipping. Here is how I determine if I’m going to keep a flip as a “Buy & Hold” or Sell it to an end buyer. Since it’s actually a little complicated, I’ll do it in steps. There are many variables but here is one sample.
You make your money when you buy.
The simplest start is to do a search for the Average Price for homes in your chosen area. Let’s look at Indianapolis IN; https://www.redfin.com/city/9170/IN/Indianapolis/housing-market for a median price of $235K That's the range you want to start out in, as a beginner.
Then we assume 35% of ARV (After Repair Value) to do the rehab, holding costs, sales costs and profit. Why 35%? Because we have to start somewhere and that satisfies most flippers on under $300,000 houses. So, we have to buy at 65% of value. The obvious question is "How do I buy for 65% on the dollar"? That's for a different post.
So, the initial numbers look something like this: $235,000 ARV, Here is a house for our example
It usually takes a beginner 6 months from buying the house, rehabbing, selling & closing to getting your money.
SELL: It assumes you are putting 20% down on a purchase price that is 65% of what you will sell it for with a Net Profit of $22,981 if you flip & sell
RENT: Your monthly mortgage cost is $1,302 and Rentometer says it should rent for $1,500 - a $200 a month difference. Keep in mind you put $30,550 cash in as a down payment. You get that back if you sell, but if you keep it as a rental it takes 153 months or 5 years to break even on your down payment alone.
https://www.redfin.com/IN/Indianapolis/1515-E-Kessler-Blvd-Dr-46220/home/66981054
ARV / Sell Price | $235,000 | |
We Calculate All Costs | ||
Purchase Price | $152,750 | 65% |
Closing Costs | $2,000 | |
Rehab | $30,000 | |
6 Months Carrying Costs | $9,114 | |
Real Estate Selling Costs | $14,100 | 6% |
Other | $0 | |
Other | $0 | |
Total Rehab Costs | $207,964 | |
Now We Calculate Profit | ||
ARV / Sell Price | $235,000 | |
Total Rehab Costs | $207,964 | |
Gross Profit | $27,036 | |
Irs Tax | $4,055 | 15% |
Net Profit | $22,981 | |
Per month profit | $3,830 | 6 |
Loan Down Payment | $30,550 | 20% |
Loan Amount | $122,200 | 80% |
Loan Cost per rmonth | ||
Principal & Interest | $813 | 7% |
Prop Taxes | $321 | |
Insurance | $168 | |
HOA Fees | $0 | |
Monthly Payment Costs | $1,302 | |
Monthly Payment 1 | $1,302 | |
Monthly Payment 2 | $1,302 | |
Monthly Payment 3 | $1,302 | |
Monthly Payment 4 | $1,302 | |
Monthly Payment 5 | $1,302 | |
Monthly Payment 6 | $1,302 | |
Utilities for 6 months | $1,302 | |
Total for 6 Months | $9,114 |