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Updated over 8 years ago on . Most recent reply

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Dave Visaya
  • Audio Engineer and Investor
  • Cebu City, Cebu
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Are real estate agents becoming obsolete?

Dave Visaya
  • Audio Engineer and Investor
  • Cebu City, Cebu
ModeratorPosted

Are real estate agents becoming obsolete? If not, then what do you think are characteristics/ skills they should have for you to work with them?

  • Dave Visaya
  • Most Popular Reply

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    Jon Holdman
    • Rental Property Investor
    • Mercer Island, WA
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    Jon Holdman
    • Rental Property Investor
    • Mercer Island, WA
    ModeratorReplied

    Its a sketchy proposition to base your value solely on access to secret data.  That may work for now, but its likely to be only a matter of time before even Texas makes this data public.

    You don't have to look very hard to find many examples that support the conclusion that real estate agents, as they currently exist, will go away.  Travel agents are one of the best comparisons.  Once upon a time it was very difficult to find data on travel destinations or to book a complicated trip.  That wasn't even very long ago.  I recall booking a trip to Hawaii in 2002 with a travel agent.  Since then I've been back twice more, as well as numerous other trips that I booked fully on my own.

    Real estate transactions are complex and are done very, very infrequently for most people.  So there will continue to be the need for some time for people who can facilitate that part of the business.  

    But even now the listing side of the process is being devalued by flat fee listing companies. Automated valuation engines like zillow aren't particularly accurate at present. But neither are agents or appraisers. Wasn't very long ago that even computer scientists said driving a car was too complex of a task to EVER automate. Yet look where we are in that regard. Watch TV ads for luxury brands and they're all touting their automation. If you think listing a property on the MLS is a more complex task than driving a car you are, IMHO, fooling yourself. I foresee a time in the not very distant future where sellers can directly create their own listing on the MLS.

    The buyer's agent side of the business has more value, I think.  Even that is HIGHLY devalued vs. when I bought my first house in 1987.  In those days the only way to get listings was directly from an agent or driving around.  Now its all online and searchable in ways that even agents couldn't in 1987.  So prospective buyers can search and find candidate properties easily.  Actual showings, though are problematic.  If you're a seller you really don't want random strangers showing up and going through your house.  So I could see some sort of function emerging that is essentially a security function.  Someone who vets buyers (though that is also amenable to automation) and then accompanies them for showings.

    More generally, ANY job that involves doing the same thing over and over - i.e., "routine" tasks - is VERY likely to be automated in the coming years.  White collar or blue collar, doesn't matter.  If your job is routine rest assured someone is trying to automate you out of a job.

    Something else to consider is exponential growth.  As humans, we tend to view change linearly.  Exponential growth is a whole different ball game.  It can look linear over short time periods.  But its not.  Change happens slowly then very quickly.  So, for quite some time it looks like change is only happening at a slow pace.  Then at some point a tipping point is reached and it changes radically over a seemingly short period of time.  Nothing about real estate is particularly unique.   Its subject to the same forces that give us iPhones and Uber.

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