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Updated over 7 years ago on . Most recent reply

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174
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Peter K.
  • Real Estate Broker
  • Raleigh, NC
69
Votes |
174
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Can anybody explain to me what CAP RATE (%) is?

Peter K.
  • Real Estate Broker
  • Raleigh, NC
Posted

I'm still confused what CAP Rate (%) means? Anybody have any good explanation? (with examples? Thanks a bunch in advance.

Most Popular Reply

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Llewelyn A.
  • Investor / Broker
  • Brooklyn, NY
1,741
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Llewelyn A.
  • Investor / Broker
  • Brooklyn, NY
Replied

@Jeff Greenberg <---- see further down.

I agree with the three posters above me.

I wanted to add to this conversation, however.

There are actually two ways to use Cap Rate, Both ways work as a Comparison to know if you are over paying or getting a deal. Here is how it can and should be used:

1) Analyzing if you are over paying for you Investment by Comparing ONLY Cap Rates.

In this example, let's take two properties, A and B. Both are very similar. The details of A and B are as follows:

Property A

-------------

Selling Price: $100k

NOI (Rents minus Expenses excluding Debt Service) = $8k.

Cap Rate = 8%

Property B

-------------

Selling Price: $234,124

NOI: 26k

Cap Rate: 11.1%

This tells you that Property B is a bit better than Property A because you will make approximately 3.1% more ROI annually, excluding Debt Service. I used a strange selling price so I can show that both A and B may have crazy numbers but you can boil them down to just the Cap Rates and compare them easily.

HOWEVER, we must then compare the neighborhoods.

Property A is in a GREAT Neighborhood. In fact, it is in an A Class Neighborhood where you are extremely likely to find good tenants all the time and will have very consistent and increasing cash flow through rising rents. In other words, the QUALITY of the Cash Flow is excellent.

Property B is in a terrible neighborhood where there is so much crime, you will need to bring your bullet proof vest when you visit your property! It's the War ZONE!

Now we need to look at the RISK of the Cash Flow.

Hypothetically, let put Property A in NYC in a very LOW Risk or HIGH Quality area say Brooklyn Heights. You are getting an 8% Cap Rate in this neighborhood. If we compared Brooklyn Heights, generally, the neighborhood is around a 3% Cap Rate. Let's call that the Neighborhood Cap or NCap for simplicity sake. If you are getting an 8% Cap Rate in a 3% NCap neighborhood, you are doing FANTASTIC! How Fantastic?

So, if you use Jeff's calculations of NOI / NCap to get the actual Fair Market Value (FMV) of the property you are targeting which is Property A, you get $8k / 3% = $267k versus the actual Selling Price of $100k! That's a GREAT Bargain because you are assured that you will get much more than that if there are no conditions that offset that difference!

Now, let's take a look at Property B in the War Zone in Brooklyn, say Brownsville area. Because of the risk of the Cash Flow, most properties in this area are really selling for around 15% NCap because at any time, you may lose the ability to get the cash flow either through eviction, high crime, lack of response from police or fire dept, etc. In other words, for you to take on greater risk, you MUST get greater compensation via a higher NOI translating to a higher Cap Rate.

Using NOI / NCap again, we get $26k / 15% = $173k! Woah! But it is selling at $234k! You are getting ripped off because of the Quality of the Cash flow!

Really, you need to take into account BOTH a comparison of your Cap Rate to the target properties AND the RISK of the neighborhood using the Neighborhood's Cap Rate. You need to get compensated for the Risk you take!

As an aside to buying properties in lower Cap Rate areas, there is a trade off of LACK of Cash Flow when compared to higher Cap Rate areas. BUT, it is generally the case that you are compensated in several ways when you buy at lower Cap Rates. Accepting a lower Cap Rate needs to also be compensated with higher Rents later on, increasing your Cash Flow and translating to higher Property Values as a result.

In other words, don't buy Low Cap Rate Properties without a good probability that you will be compensated with increases in stable future rents and increasing stable cash flows.

As an aside, I buy in Brooklyn, usually with around 5% Cap Rate properties. However, as the rents move up, if I were to recalculate the Cap Rate after locking in the Buy Price where I purchased the Property, over time, my personal Cap Rate will be GREAT. In most of my properties, my personal Cap Rates exceed 20% since I bought the property with today's rent roll.

If I were to sell today, I don't use my personal Cap Rate at purchase, I use the current Neighborhood Cap Rate and my current NOI which is much higher than the NOI at purchase. That translates to incredible appreciation. This is why the few of us who buy in places like NYC or SF are perfectly fine with low Cap Rate properties. We are paying a premium in order to have consistent cash flow increases over a long period of time.

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