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Chadwick Gonsalvez
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Submarket Research Process Help

Chadwick Gonsalvez
Pro Member
Posted Feb 16 2024, 16:03

Rookie investor here; what set data points do you try to find when you're researching a submarket? I want to develop a process, but don't want to waste time with gathering research points that are ineffective. Below is the questionnaire I've come up with, although please feel free to critique it! (note: for trends/growth I'm looking post COVID due to it's impact)

1) What percentage of submarket (SM) rents vs Dallas avg?

2) Rental population trends - is % of renters growing over time?

3) SM Property Value Appreciation Trends

4) SM Pop Growth

5) Safety compared to the rest of Dallas

6) Income - median and avg

7) Rent Cost - median and avg

8) Rent Growth Trends

9) What percentage of population under poverty line

10) What percentage of pop are families 

11) What percentage of population are families w kids

12) Avg people in a household

12) historical vacancy rate

13) avg bed/bathroom composition

14) Profession by percentage 

15) Commuter population by percentage and commute time

Thanks y'all!

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Melanie P.
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  • Rental Property Investor
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Melanie P.
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Replied Feb 17 2024, 02:19

Too much analysis. Find deals anywhere in the metroplex which you can afford, then find reasons to exclude them from consideration. Along the way you'll develop favored and disfavored submarkets. A good deal can happen anywhere. 

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Mark R.
  • Real Estate Broker
  • Texas
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Mark R.
  • Real Estate Broker
  • Texas
Replied Feb 17 2024, 10:42

I have some experience on the institutional side. Analysis like this was the norm for Build to Rent projects and for comparing MSAs. Portfolio construction and forecasting are different things than buying a few rentals.

Focus on the individual deal. What is your first year yield on cost? Second year?

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Robert Ellis
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Robert Ellis
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Replied Feb 17 2024, 14:26

I love when new investors ask about safety in an area that has a lot of development. Safety and real estate finance / appraisal / underwriting don't really go along. 

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Chadwick Gonsalvez
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Chadwick Gonsalvez
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Replied Feb 18 2024, 13:33

Ok great, thanks y’all, I really appreciate you taking the time to reply and give guidance on learning submarkets through deal analysis. Have you found any of the above items end up not playing a role when looking at specific deals? Thanks for helping me leverage my time doing research!