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Updated over 1 year ago, 07/29/2023

User Stats

86
Posts
34
Votes
David Li
  • Real Estate Investor
  • South Jordan, UT
34
Votes |
86
Posts

Why housing is inflation hedge?

David Li
  • Real Estate Investor
  • South Jordan, UT
Posted

I keep hearing that if you borrow at 3% interest rate then your hedging inflation, but if the price of your house/investment is not going up and is going sideway for the next few years, how is that inflation Hedge? especially if we adjust it for inflation the value of the house actually went down in real term, am I wrong?

User Stats

1,719
Posts
1,474
Votes
Doug Smith
  • Lender
  • Tampa, FL
1,474
Votes |
1,719
Posts
Doug Smith
  • Lender
  • Tampa, FL
Replied

Historically, housing keeps pace with inflation. I know I've posted this chart before, so please forgive me if you've seen it, but it really does a good job of illustrating the relationship between the Consumer Price Index and the Housing Price Index. This data comes from the St Louis Fed. There will be outlier properties or even markets that you might see a drop, but those aren't the norm from a statistical perspective. Historically, overall housing prices have more than kept pace with inflation. 

User Stats

86
Posts
34
Votes
David Li
  • Real Estate Investor
  • South Jordan, UT
34
Votes |
86
Posts
David Li
  • Real Estate Investor
  • South Jordan, UT
Replied

@Doug Smith

It’s a great chart. Thanks for sharing. imma steal it

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User Stats

5,409
Posts
2,572
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David M.
  • Morris County, NJ
2,572
Votes |
5,409
Posts
David M.
  • Morris County, NJ
Replied

@David Li

Also, rents also tend to go up, in general as well.  Granted the past 5-7 years has seen a dramatic rise in rents, however.  Remember, this is a "big picture / macro" concept.