And I tried to be as comprehensive in my modeling as possible, including purchase and sale closing costs, the value of tax deductions, management costs, etc.I know this community is dedicated to investing in real estate specifically, but it's still an investment, and every investment is measured by the profit it can produce and must compete with other options.What am I not understanding or missing here?

No one could have predicted that 3-weeks crash period even with all the data, modeling, forecasting, etc. 

Just from your description of their model, I would have ran away from this opportunity immediately! 

You don’t realize or aren’t told which model is used.

Our model is constructed primarily around the BRRRR strategy, while being open to other opportunities that occasionally arise when you build a real estate company.

The reviews I've been reading about new models is that the quality of drying has vastly improved.

If you can rent it for more than your living costs now, you should just rent it out and stay put.Figure which way is the most efficient and model what that first year is going to look like from a cash flow perspective.

I recommend finance as a strong contender so you learn the basics of Excel and become comfortable building complex models.

MyFICO allows you to purchase all of your credit scores, including the ones that lenders use (as of now, I believe most lenders still use Experian Fico Risk Model v2, Transunion FICO Risk Score Classic 04, and Equifax Beacon 5).

Fixed rates, and right now you can easily get 3-4% for late model cars.