On the other hand, the networks that you build in those communities can become lifelong connections that can payoff in ways nobody here can predict.

I do realize using historical returns to predict future returns has some risk but you are not proposing placing a large amount into an investment all at once. 

You can absolutely use that to lower the price of the property, especially given the more intense hurricanes and rain patterns that are predicted.  

so predicting a crash on the peninsula has been great sport now for the last 4 decades.. the biggest crash happened in SF in 89 to 92 prices did crash some then.. but then made new highs by mid to late 90s.. and now with TEch fully entrenched you have a world class city with no peer.. prices are taking a breather ..

It's typically a pretty predictable 30 day process, and with a hiccup you might push to 60 days, but it makes jumping into even high-risk areas a lot less daunting.

Nobody can predict the exact top of the market but personally I would SELL SELL SELL!

Have the numbers been as accurate as you predicted or was there some unforeseen factors?

There are three different “memberships” you can join, depending on the number of transactions you predict you will do.

For any number of reasons, people have been predicting it going back to 2015 from what I have seen.

I know as I have grown that I am pivoting from doing heavy rehabs to ground up.. easier to manage and more predictable cost wise..