They pay actuaries a lot of money to read into the data of the past and present, to try and predict events in the future. 

The Rock Springs Green River area has had the normal cycles following the price of oil, but add the coal mines, the power plants, the trona mines and the cycles get really weird and hard to predict. 

But who knows, no one can really predict the market.

Credit where credit is due, the predictions for recession in 2023 were wrong (or pre-mature, which is the same thing).

For 2022 annual appreciation/growth, the experts are predicting, zillow 13.6% increase, goldmansachs  16% increase, fannie me 7.9% increase, core logic 1.9% increase, mortgage bankers assoc -2.5% decrease, redfin 3% increase, michael uber 10% increase. 6.

As we all have been watching the market twist and turn over the past couple months, where do you think the market will turn as we enter the new year? I have noticed this month more houses have gone up for sale with sa...

So finding a decent deal that you can predict the exit strategy, whether that be wholesale, rental or flip, is, in my low experienced opinion, difficult.

And that is with you risking that you will only have operating expenses of 40% given that your management cost that you stated is only 6% and also allowing that your capital improvements will be low since the place is brand new.Operating in this manner is what I call Fantasy Investing, which is a close cousin to Fantasy Football.

The problem with appreciation is it's inherently less predictable than cash flow.

There is about 12M sq foot of commercial sublease space on the market right now, that's more than during the dotcom bust. 2.) residential prices on condos and rentals are way down, showing that there is vacancy and people aren't around but Google is expanding.Like each of y'all, I can't predict the future but here are my thoughts:  Some people were near the point of leaving the city or CA in general, they accelerated those plans and moved.