@James Park Short run no one can predict.

That is, what we want to know is whether they will pay rent (and be respectful tenants) not so much whether they will pay off a car loan or credit card every month (though that is always preferable)...The credit profiles are data driven and can be predictive of rent paying, but remember while it is great if people pay their consumer, student, and other debt, we want to know if they will pay the rent (so probe rental history closer).

On this deal, you should expect some extras above the 90-100 the contractor predicts.

Do you have predictions for what expected energy costs will be?

(As measured by cashflow)Quick scans of Zillow reveal the following candidates: (Note that I treat zillow predictions as a measure of expected variance, not a measurement of expected growth!)

It's hard to predict that far out, but only two options.

If Mashvisor & Everbooked's predictions indicate a home would have to be a top-performer according to AirDNA, I usually downgrade my occupancy or ADR projections.

You can theorize numbers all you want but there are things the best of us can never predict.  

My family and I evacuated as we live very close to the water on Florida's east coast where it was predicted to land initially.

Meaning the BP calculators cannot predict the impact of a factory closing, a school being sued for $35 million from a football injury, a huge tax break for small business or a proposed highway exit ramp.It is investing and your numbers will be different from mine for the same house (I have a cheap roof guy or I can get all electrical for cost.... you own a lawn company and can do the landscaping for pennies on the dollar).