Tough to predict the existence or pending burst of a bubble.  

Show me a study that says felons who have been convicted of X or Y crime within the last Z years don't pay rent or make bad tenants and I guess I would change my tune but it just doesn't exist.The truth is you have no way of predicting the future behavior of ANY person, prior criminal or not.

Buyer BEWARE, we ask questions as to why the population is declining and the why is important to understand what to predict.  

(As a side note, I much more prefer Arnold's 160 Greatest One-Liners, definitely worth the watch.)A NEW BEGINNINGBut recently, Stockton has seemingly turned a new leaf, and suddenly found itself making headlines for all the right reasons:Stockton-Lodi Ranks No. 4 on top market list for 2018Council Takes Key Step On Plan For DowntownStockton Is Launching The First US Experiment In Basic Income47 Arrested In Massive Gang Sweep To Clean Up The StreetsHome Prices Nearly Doubled In This Surprising California CityStockton's Hot Housing Market May Spill Over Into DowntownAnd the list goes on and on... but pay particular attention to that last one...If you read in my article above about investing in Stockton I wrote nearly a year ago, I predicted that Stockton would really need to focus on its downtown area to attract Bay Area millennials who are trying to flee the expensive *** housing market there where only 25% of homes are priced under $500,000. 

Huge companies like Pepsi, P&G, JC Penney and others pulled money from direct mail and TV ads to put it into digital, and are now slashing their digital budget and putting money back into traditional channels.Industry experts were predicting the death of direct mail a few years ago, but the numbers actually show direct mail growing year over year for the last several years.You're right that direct mail to absentee landlords is a pretty crowded space.

You can still calculate for it, it just has little purpose or not the best metric for predicting future profits.

Now no one can predict or time market corrections, so do your research and buy the place when you find the right one.

Three years ago I would have predicted we would already be trending upward, if only slightly.

Obviously one can never absolutely predict any sort of property value increase.

No one can predict the future, that is why we look at the past.