You'll find Columbus to be a generally more expensive market with wild appreciation...you will find more value in Cleveland, but the general tradeoff is the stability and appreciation of the market.Columbus will be one of the 10 biggest cities in the county within 10-years...it's 14 now...and there is no sign of slowing...my standing prediction is it eclipses Chicago in 50-years, but we'll see.

ARV is also challenging if not impossible for a third-party to predict due to market changes, investor design choices, listing agent competence, photography, access, even just keeping the damn place clean for showings, etc. etc. etc. and on forever with countless micro-decisions that will affect the end result.

Success of rental property investment is all about knowing the area well, so you can best predict what is a good deal, the future market trend in that particular area, and what type of potential tenant you will get down the road. 

I'm also looking to acquire an STR and am also finding it difficult to accurately predict revenue.

Or do you predict a more stable renter long term renter type (???)

(For example, if they could predictably produce 30% annual returns with low risk, many would be happy to invest.) 

Metro Detroit is more like a typical suburb area so its easier to predict and you can take a macro approach.

From an objective perspective, cash flow is decent, market appreciation is very solid and predictable, and the demand for short term rentals in this area is growing rapidlyAs mentioned above, you do have a few restrictions to take into account when purchasing in Naples, specifically, but these are easy to navigate as long as you know what to look for.

Their predictions are as good as weather forecasters...I live in Silicon Valley and folks have been predicting crashes since last 5 years , and homes go up 10-15 % a year...

I recently read a local business journal article that predicted insurance was going to go up by approximately 20%.