The median home value in Phoenix as of April 2023 was $368,657, which is a 23.5% increase from the previous year. 

A lot of investors start with something that's turnkey with value-add potential.

Post Dodd Frank sellers have continued the same bad practice of selling houses to occupants with financing at selling prices that are way high, can't be justified via any type of 3rd party valuation (appraisal, zestimate, tax value, even recent sales in the same area).   

I want to create something that adds value to the industry, so I'm looking to build a solid foundation in this field.

Instead, create perceived value by using strike-through pricing and strategic discounts.

that we’ve learned in our 24 years, managing almost 700 doors across the Metro Detroit area, including almost 100 S8 leases:Class A Properties:Cashflow vs Appreciation: Typically, 3-5 years for positive cashflow, but you get highest relative rent & value appreciation.Vacancy Est: Historically 10%, 5% the more recent norm.Tenant Pool: Majority will have FICO scores of 680+ (roughly 5% probability of default), zero evictions in last 7 years.Class B Properties:Cashflow vs Appreciation: Typically, decent amount of relative rent & value appreciation.Vacancy Est: Historically 10%, 5% should be applied only if proper research done to support.Tenant Pool: Majority will have FICO scores of 620-680 (around 10% probability of default), some blemishes, but should have no evictions in last 5 yearsClass C Properties:Cashflow vs Appreciation: Typically, high cashflow and at the lower end of relative rent & value appreciation.

I focus solely on Detroit proper because, in my experience, the rent-to-price ratios, opportunities for value-add projects, and overall market potential are much stronger there.That said, Detroit is a nuanced market.

Self managed HOAs are usually undercapitalized so you want to take a thorough review of the condition of the community to make sure there isn’t deferred maintenance because you might get hit with a special assessment if the board isn’t setting aside cash for those capital improvements.At face value, taking into consideration my typical financial objectives, I wouldn’t do this deal unless it was a much lower price.

Identifying value-add opportunities in strong neighborhoods and negotiating deals that make sense is something I’ve done a lot, so I understand what it takes to make these projects successful.If you’d like, we can connect and talk through some strategies or areas to focus on—I’m here to help however I can.

We all have short memories lots in that part of SWF have been a yo yo in values for decades when the market is hot they go up when it cools they drop to 5 to 20k per lot.  08 09 saw builders in those market go poof.. builders from SE flooded there built a ton of inventory and could not sell it in the GFC I was buying brand new houses at foreclosure in 09 for 30 to 50k each.