David and others mentioned it has little to do with predicting the future total potential returns historically.

If you are doing standard stamps that is a lot harder to predict when they will arrive but you can send more mail for the same cost.

A specialist advised me to wait a bit because everyone is predicting a price drop. 

I won't predict where values will go in the next few years.

I agree that this is one of the strangest situations I have ever seen.I have tried to figure out what would motivate a bank to follow this predictable path not once but multiple times.Maybe it is just wishful thinking on the part of the lenders... as they all seem to still have their head in the sand regarding any sustainable recovery and home prices stablizing let alone increasing.

I do agree that, in order for a local market to have house values drop 35%, something devastating would have to occur, and usually that would be predictable.

If you are finding a 4 plex for $20k in working class neighborhoods I applaud you, I only found those in non-working class neighborhoods here in Memphis.Good luck investing,"The best way to predict the future is to invent it"Alan Kay

Secondly, I would look at 78727 close to the Domain where they predict Austin's 2nd downtown area will be!

Since this is a smaller property we have the finances to just buy it ourselves, and the end-buyer suggested us doing owner-finance until she can get her credit right; she predicts 3-6 months.Curious of people's thoughts on these terms as we've never done an owner-finance before:15% downpayment12% interestballon payment due in 8 monthsInitially wanted to do 20% down but we met in the middle at 15% as she doesn't have enough for 20.

My ROI models hinge on appreciation here so that's a pretty big variable that's hard to predict!