Of course we can't predict the future but based on everything happening it seems we will have at least as good appreciation as the rest of the country and possibly more than average.

DEC 12, 2023Good news for Greater Toledo homeowners and all concerned with prosperity here comes from Realtor.com’s forecast for 2024.Economists for the largest online real estate website predict Toledo will be the hottest home market in the nation next year.Affordability and stability are behind the Realtor.com projection of 8.3 percent price gain for Toledo homes in 2024.

Forced Apperception (BRRRR or buying at a discount) allows me to build in equity from the beginning of the investment in case I need to fire sale the property for an unforeseeable reason.Debt-Paydown and Tax-Benefits are just a result of owning real estate and can be more-or-less predicted over a time period.

You can cashflow all day there with a property manager and you should always have a rent check coming in with a duplex with predictable linear appreciation.Pull cash out from the duplex and buy another one or buy in Miami if prices soften there to the point where it makes more sense to buy than rent.To your success!

We'll be releasing a report in Q1 based on our predictions for the strongest fix and flip markets in 2024.

Knowledge is power   I can think of a few things that would be really useful for predicting an areas home values or rent in the future.

you'd still get to make money in REI, with a secured predictable return, you'd just have to figure out another way down the line to be building equity and getting the tax benefits of ownership.hope this helps! 

Forced Apperception (BRRRR or buying at a discount) allows me to build in equity from the beginning of the investment in case I need to fire sale the property for an unforeseeable reason.Debt-Paydown and Tax-Benefits are just a result of owning real estate and can be more-or-less predicted over a time period.

Pros:- Everything is all in one place- Easier to manage, less hassle (likely)- More predictable - Easier paperwork Cons: - Less liquid (have to sell all or none) - All eggs in one basket Just off the cuff, those are my initial thoughts. 

Thanks Stuart.I don't think a "thesis" is necessary for real estate investing.Your mixing "thesis" with speculation and prediction IMO$1m in cash is retirement for someone that knows what they are doing in "low barrier" markets like you mention.Same can't be said for higher entry markets.Those that don't know real estate will loose no matter where or how they invest.Personally, I don't care about appreciation as I don't get out of bed unless I can net cashflow 20% net on a deal.For example, just bought a 6 unit in a B class area for $160,000.Currently occupied and renting for $3,000pm.Once minor rehab of $50,000 is completed, rents will be $4,500.I have an offer to sell as is for $250,000.ARV is $350,000.When interest rates go down, value will increase even further due to commercial lending being easier.No need for appreciation on such deals.I'll take them all day long over any appreciation potential.Again, just my opinion and each to their own.