Timing your next investment is all about balancing risk and financial comfort—trust your instincts and run the numbers carefully.

I'd focus on deciding what you want to do (flip-high risk, but potentially high return...or large loss; short term rental-more work, but higher return than long term rental; long term rental-less work than the other two, but lower return).Once you've decided which you want to do, then focus on getting the best house to meet your goal. 

This will reduce your risk and cash invested and if something goes wrong you wont be bled dry with never ending repairs.

Screening everyone over 18 helps reduce the risk of costly evictions and ensures you’re fully informed about who will be living in your property.Additionally, be mindful of the number of occupants and how it might impact your property.

There is a ton of risk for the seller as we know in these deals and there are bad actors in these deals as well.. ran into many of them buy sub to never pay of the mortgage rip the rents and down the road..some off those folks got criminally charged and got prison time..

Mortgage rates are based on what lenders consider risk factors such as loan to value, credit, etc. 

There are few places that I think have a higher fire risk.

The more rentals you have the more risk there is to having a bad situation crop up.

Hey Matt,With $50K in a self-directed IRA, there are several strategies you could explore to generate both short- and long-term returns, depending on your risk tolerance and investment goals.

Right, but to get an ARV close to $130k, you'll probably need rent to be close to $1,300 unless you can sell it to a retail buyer, which could be a big risk on its own.