I agree that the UCC is only a fixture filing, but lenders here in CA can be really conservative.

Dang it @JD Martin, you conservative dudes are heartless

Some more conservative lenders may only use 65-70% ARV on the secondary calc.

But I have been looking into splitting the duplex into two condos (yes I know it is a lot of work) and I could probably get 325-350k for each, netting me 650-700k.Number:* Mortgage interest 2.5%* Mortgage principle 240k* PITI $2100/month* Rent 2200/month (current tenant on a two year lease)* Potential rent on my side $2400/month * 100k HELOC at 11% (fixed) (not currently being used)* est additional cost to split the dueplex 75-100k (conservative, probably less)     *new siding 30k (just put on a new roof this year)     *legal 10-15k     *fire proofing 15k     * 15-40k for stuff I am not aware of or underestimated on* some of the appreciation is external from the home     *big grocery store put in 3min away     * newly paved road in front of my house     *a building that was falling down across the street has been torn down          * Still a vacant lot with the foundation exposed and fencing around it (so more local improvements are on the way)Part of me wants to take the money and run but man I love that 2.5% interest rate and the $2000/month cash flow (including taxes and capx)I have thought about 1031 exchanging into more rentals, but I would like to pivot into storage units.

We are conservative investors since we will be out of the country eventually.- These total 10 duplexes should bring in 30K gross rent per month and cash-flow about ~3-4K/month.We don't plan to use any of the cash-flow for personal expenses and after keeping sufficient reserves, we will funnel the cash-flow to pay-off existing properties.

Market rents are $2,750 but let's go soft and say $2,500 just to be all the more conservative. 

I put some numbers below into this Rent or Sell calculator.https://www.narpm.org/members/resources/rent-vs-sell-calculator/ESTIMATES ON ROI (15 year time frame)at 5% Appreciation would profit $100K if SELL nowat 6% Appreciation would have $3,500K more if KEEP and sell after 15 yearsat 7% Appreciation would profit 122K if KEEP and sell after 15 years(Assuming a conservative 6% ROI on money invested from sale.)NOTE: The property appreciated 10% in the last year so I’m thinking 7% over the next 10-15 is reasonable.DETAILSSale Value: $520,000 (Best guess)Paid: $437,000Original Mortgage: $415,000Mortgage Balance: $380,000Interest: 3.375%Monthly mortgage: $2,899Mortgage Difference: $1064Annual Taxes, Insurance, HOA etc**: $20,345**$13,865 (Non Homestead tax) $4,680 (HOA) $1,800 (Landlord Insurance)Monthly Rental Charge $3,500*Appreciation 7%Years to Hold: 15More assumptions used in ROI Estimates Above90% occupancy,15% capital gains charge6% selling feeRate of return on gains if selling now instead 6%Annual maintenance 1%Annual rent increase 4%$3,500 is slightly aggressive. unlikely I could get more.Thanks in advance for any constructive thoughts and comments!!!!

He is at 100% occupancy, I was just underwriting it on the conservative side after moving to market rents.

Need for conservative underwriting and careful forecastingQuestions for Discussion:1.

I put some numbers below into this Rent or Sell calculator.https://www.narpm.org/members/resources/rent-vs-sell-calculator/ESTIMATES ON ROI (15 year time frame)at 5% Appreciation would profit $100K if SELL nowat 6% Appreciation would have $3,500K more if KEEP and sell after 15 yearsat 7% Appreciation would profit 122K if KEEP and sell after 15 years(Assuming a conservative 6% ROI on money invested from sale.)NOTE: The property appreciated 10% in the last year so I’m thinking 7% over the next 10-15 is reasonable.DETAILSSale Value: $520,000 (Best guess)Paid: $437,000Original Mortgage: $415,000Mortgage Balance: $380,000Interest: 3.375%Monthly mortgage: $2,899Mortgage Difference: $1064Annual Taxes, Insurance, HOA etc**: $20,345**$13,865 (Non Homestead tax) $4,680 (HOA) $1,800 (Landlord Insurance)Monthly Rental Charge $3,500*Appreciation 7%Years to Hold: 15More assumptions used in ROI Estimates Above90% occupancy,15% capital gains charge6% selling feeRate of return on gains if selling now instead 6%Annual maintenance 1%Annual rent increase 4%$3,500 is slightly aggressive. unlikely I could get more.Thanks in advance for any constructive thoughts and comments!!!!