The predictive model is actually very easy to create.1.

@Carlos PtriawanThe best part of being an investor is that investors get to make decisions where they place their capital AND then benefit or suffer from the consequences of those decisions.I can say NO ONE has ever become wealthy investing in CDs.I can say MANY folks have become wealthy investing in real estate.I can’t predict what the future will hold but the long term trend (unequivocally) is the price of real estate both sale and rent increases over time.I’ll keep my capital in real estate not CDs.

Any long term predictions (10+ years)? 

The Fed recently adjusted its short term projection to one quarter point rate drop for 2024, though it had earlier predicted as many as three drops.

There is no spreadsheet that will predict a perfect investment. 

Based on some rough calculations, once fully stabilized and running (including property management), I predict the tiny home community to cash flow around $20,000/month and be worth roughly $3.5 million!

You definitely aren't going to have a great predictable return, especially in the short term, if you try to invest turnkey; at least at the single family and small multi-family level. 

I have a feeling that his choice will be the latter....hence my prediction..."

While a single stall garage might be only a ~10k adjustment on an appraisal depending on your local market, the lack of garage can kill market value which is harder to predict.

I think we could all agree there are basically three answers:A) Stay the course - keep adding 10 bps for each year held based on stabilized market cap rateB) Take a little risk - use the current market stabilized cap as the exit cap tooC) Throw caution to the wind - use a cap rate that is less than the current market cap (*If you pick this answer what method are you using to predict a cap rate)Which answer would you pick and why?