I think the past is a good example of showing how unpredictable it is and not being able to predict the future. 

It is easy to predict ROI on adding a pool. 

Regarding how countries treat foreign investors I would say there are two points, 1) yes they need to not be too arduous on foreign investors, but what's more important is 2) that they are consistent and predictable instead of arbitrary. 

The bottom line is that the Fed is always hard to predict despite the data.

But there are interesting fun vibes here at BP when specific people interact, I can even predict what they're going to say and what these two folks going to debate ;-) , the forum is like a fruit market, where everyone is throwing their opinion and then for an answer that you're looking for, you write down that answer in your brain. 

"paraphrasing" You dont need to be able to figure out ARV we have a system where top realtors will get you solid ARV numbers.4034 Manchester Rd Akron , listed 139,900 sold 110,000 (solid prediction, wow!)

Hard to predict the future but this is reality after the election??

And that get's even more confirmed when you look at home prices long term, like since WW2.It's like: I don't know if we are going to have snow for Christmas, or how much snow exactly it will be, but it's Wisconsin and so it's pretty safe to predict (even though maybe not 100%) we are going to have snow at some point next winter and the total accumulation is going to be probably around 30-50 inches.My operating assumption is that home prices are going to double (again) over the next ten years, just like the did over the last 10.

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I predicted a 20 to 30 percent correction in prices this year, and I was dead wrong.It appears that investors are continuing to come in for the long haul, with the knowledge that positive cash flow isn't realistic in the early years of ownership.