With 15k after 2 years I should be able to purchase a duplex in a b neighborhood in my area surrounded by b and c neighborhoods. ( currently many are selling for 60k or less, obviously can't predict the market but I think I have a good shot).

He predicted the 2008 crash 11 years before it happened.

IN spring of 07  I got as liquid as I could get ( not that I predicted the magnitude of the GFC) it was just rolling out of some large deals...

We purchased a 16k house that needs about 70k work, and the neighborhood is on the upswing for a revival, but won't be quite there for another couple of years (so I predict).  

Not in my experience anyway.What is your predicted ARV?

Not too crazy about the job but with a child I needed the stability/predictability of the 8-5.

Houses are all built by same builder and issues with one are predictable with others.  

No one can predict the future but when opportunity comes you should take advantage of it; IF it meets the vision you have for your life.

However, since we cannot predict the future and there may eventually be a need or desire to take cash out of this investment, if the ARV is less than the Max Investment amount ($180,000) you risk lowering your overall return when you sell.   

This area unfortunately is hard to predict future growth.