I have find people like normal and predictable.

My point is that appreciation is very difficult to predict in most parts of the country, and using assumed appreciation (more than historical appreciation rates, which track inflation) to justify a deal is, in my opinion, flawed.If I misinterpreted your point, feel free to ignore mine...  :-)

Just looking at your numbers you’re predicting about 50k for the rehab which in my opinion (General contractor for 15 years) you’re looking well over that.

The market is difficult to predict, so diversifying your portfolio is an effective way to manage volatility.

There are areas that have been appreciating for a while, it’s always hard to predict appreciation so I am reluctant to say what areas are going up but there are lots of areas that will meet your budget and provide double digit cashflow.  

I predict it happens down the road, and I will listen to that podcast multiple times.

Since this is something that no one can predict in advance, they should be providing you with 3 scenarios: expected case, bad case, good case.

But I have to say it concerns me when I get emails like this:CIA analyst, James Rickards, has made a shocking prediction: A cabal of 189 global elites is preparing to launch a direct financial attack on America…if successful, their plan will vaporize $101 trillion in investor assets… within 48 hours.

I don’t know how anyone can make a prediction that Covid will be in the rear view in about a year.

While no one can predict the future, the Federal Reserve raising interest rates yesterday by 0.75% is an aggressive sign that they're not done.