Buying in fall and selling in spring takes advantage of the seasonal pattern.

The landlord choice option, allows you to choose the terms of your screening, but forces you consider situations and additional evidence provided by the tenant to weigh against your screening criteria.For reference:  https://www.portland.gov/sites/default/files/2020-02/phb-rso...Here is a screenshot from that link above that I believe outlines some things to consider:  I think from what you have described above, the one that has me concerned, is the time that they have been out of jail has not been that long, so its unclear if there will be a pattern with this person or if it was a one time mistake that they have fully atoned for.

Your market Fresno and Sacramento is the final destination for the CA folks that get 'replaced' from Bay Area --sort of like that based on immigration pattern-- (don't know the better word for that pattern of immigration due to unaffordability)Even Modesto is rapidly changing now.I would guess Fresno and Sacramento would need more hospital/doctors more and more in the future.I have been myself 'replaced' from area like Palo Alto as well LOL It happened.

ANd even if you fit a perfect fact pattern, it can be challenged and it is up to you to have the fight to argue it.

However, if this becomes a pattern, then with her 12 month lease coming to a close, it may be time to part ways.  

Even with non recourse if we saw a pattern of default or a bunch of other credit issue it was a denial..

I'd say there's a similar pattern in my area, though you do get some people scoping rentals into September/October.

Cities were using the tools to map patterns of landlord violations and permitting concerns. 

I've been doing this long enough now that I notice patterns and can look around a house and generally estimate the costs to within 10% in about 5 minutes.

But nothing in the fact pattern given suggests we have 3 former drug users who have completed drug treatment programs and are no longer on drugs.