I'm aware that the Yield Curve is one indicator to forecast a recession, and this is just looking at it today. 

Hi everyone,I'm trying to understand any risks to a mortgage during a recession and happened historically.

They note that while nationally rental rate growth is slowing due a rise in new construction in the multifamily category (now reaching pre-recession rates), homeownership rates are rising despite lack of new for-sale inventory of single family homes.

Housing Starts is a very good indicator, since 1965 it has never been wrong predicting a recession.

My personal opinion is that the next recession is not that far off and I want to get my personal finances squeaky clean so that when the next downturn hits we can take short term advantage.

On other hand, the usual recession-resistant asset classes like self storage, etc are almost universally fine.

It is recessed in the mechanism.

The recession and asset bubbles further put the private sector into deficit.

If you want to prepare yourself for the variables that happen with properties, assume a vacancy rate of at least 7% to 10%, even if the actual is much lower, and especially when you underwrite a deal during a recession.

I am able to focus on delivering on my committments to my investors.My hold time is 3-5 years for apartments and 5-7 years for hotels.Also, when I refinance, my investors retain their 30-50% equity ownership.My investors are quite happy with the fact that they get double digit returns with the above structure and I've never lost money for my investors even through the Great Recession of 2008-2009.16% project IRR to me is marginal.